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> Additionally, SpaceX is continuing Falcon Heavy processing without skipping a beat, rolling out the vehicle just hours after mission completion. If there was
by AdamJacobMuller 9y ago
> Additionally, SpaceX is continuing Falcon Heavy processing without skipping a beat, rolling out the vehicle just hours after mission completion. If there was a failure, there would be a stand-down to determine the cause before continuing.
I keep coming back to this part of your comment and I think its the most useful piece of non-classified data we have. Lots of possibilities of what happened here, for sure. The one sure conclusion we can draw from this is that SpaceX does not think the Falcon 9 failed. If they thought that there was an issue with the Falcon 9, you're correct that that would have caused a stop of the Heavy launch. Now, its possible SpaceX is wrong and there was an issue with the Falcon 9, its possible there was an issue with the payload or the payload separation or even possible that there was no issue at all. With all of the classified information on this one, we probably won't know for sure in our lifetimes but we can say one thing for sure. The people who do have access to the classified information do not think there was an issue of enough magnitude to delay the Falcon Heavy launch and I think that speaks volumes. If the mission had failed I think we would see at least a brief pause, even if SpaceX quickly decided that the failure was not theirs and continued. The fact that they are pushing on leads me to lean strongly in the direction of the mission actually being a success.
- gozur88 9y agoI would agree, except there's no customer for FH. Even if there's some small chance the 2nd stage will fail, a test of the three core first stage makes sense. Having said that, I would be very surprised to find there was a failure of SpaceX hardware in the Zuma launch.
- samcat116 9y agoFAA won't let them launch if theres any possibility of a known issue. Even if there isn't a customer for this FH mission, FAA still has to certify the flight.
- AdamJacobMuller 9y agoThey wouldn't risk Elon's roadster. More seriously, even just the PR cost and the actual cost would prevent them from launching.