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Is it theoretically even possible for all debts to be paid with the given supply of money vs. what is supposedly owed? For instance when interest is charged on
by wu-ikkyu 9y ago
Is it theoretically even possible for all debts to be paid with the given supply of money vs. what is supposedly owed?
For instance when interest is charged on a loan, the money needed to pay the interest fee is not created by the bank.
- quadrangle 9y agoMy understanding: bank credit isn't fiat currency. It can be paid back with other credit effectively. But at the end of the day, it's possible, of course, to have absurd debts and credits from banks that will be impossible to ever repay. If I loan you $1 at 1000% interest daily, then after a short time, you are just going to default on the loan, period. There's no way you'll pay it back. So, yeah… at some point, even if you got another loan to pay the loan and etc etc. the whole house of cards will crash at some point if it's too much credit based on nothing. That house of cards could be just me never getting paid back, oh well. But if I convinced tons of other people to give me products and services that I then had debt for based on the idea that I have this expectation of your payback… then the house of cards could reach through the whole economy eventually.
- wu-ikkyu 9y agoIf bank credit isn't backed by fiat currency (fractionally reserved or otherwise), then does it have any real basis to it?
- quadrangle 9y agoIt's still enforced legally but tempered by bankruptcy laws. It's backed by the supposed (hoped for) future productivity of the debtor. Or by real property (like a house in the case of a mortgage).
- jganetsk 9y agoIt is backed by the fact there is plenty of demand for it. The demand comes from the fact that people need to attain bank credit to pay off their debts to the banks. This is very evident when you think of how banks used to work: they would actually issue paper notes denominated in the desired unit of account (the national currency). To pay back your debts (or else suffer the consequences), you had to acquire and return the notes to the bank. That generated demand for the notes. People who were not banks would start accepting the notes because of the demand. Then banks decided they could make money by accepting notes from other banks as payment (for a fee). At the end of the day, banks would exchange and retire notes collected this way.
- cwkoss 9y agoBecause of interest, net debt obligations are always greater than net amount of issued credit. There is never enough money in existence to pay off all debts at a given time... unless more debts are created to pay them off.
- nostrademons 9y agoSure. The same quantity of money can be spent more than once. Say that you're playing Monopoly (with house rules that allow personal debts), and the total supply of cash on the board is $300, divided up evenly among 3 players. Through previous transactions, Alice owes Bob $400, Bob owes Charlie $600, and Charlie owes Alice $200. Total debt on the board is $1200, 4x the supply of total cash. Now imagine that Charlie pays Alice $100 to cancel half his debt. Alice now has $200 cash, and gives it to Bob to cancel half her debt. Bob now has $300 cash, and gives it to Charlie to cancel half his debt. Total cash on the board is still $300, all in the hands of Charlie, but total debt has been reduced to $600, only 2x the total money supply. (Note also that Charlie now has all the cash on the board and he can pay off his total debt with just 1/3 of his cash, which puts him in a very good negotiating position relative to the other players. This is how deflation - caused here by a decrease in total debt levels - tends to be very bad for debtors.) Remember that everyone's debt is someone else's asset. If you own T-bills, that means the government owes a debt to you; part of the governments $13T national debt is your savings. If you have money deposited in the bank, then your neighbor's mortgage debt is indirectly your savings (going through the bank's balance sheet first). If you have both rewards points and a credit card balance, the rewards points are a debt from the credit card to you and the balance is a debt from you to the credit card company, and they get netted out when you redeem the points. Debt really is a measure of two things: 1. The complexity of the financial system, for debts that are netted out between participants. 2. Wealth inequality, for debts that are not. Both of those are increasing rapidly throughout the global financial system.
- dragonwriter 9y ago> Is it theoretically even possible for all debts to be paid with the given supply of money Yes, because money spent (to pay off a debt or otherwise) doesn't vanish in a puff of smoke, someone has it, and they can then use it to either pay off debt or buy goods, and the person who gets it then can use it to pay off debts or buy goods, and so on, ad infinitum.