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What? Bitcoin has never existed before it was created, and it wasn't possible before the Internet, so I don't think Warren Buffett has seen it before unless he'
by brndnmtthws 9y ago
What? Bitcoin has never existed before it was created, and it wasn't possible before the Internet, so I don't think Warren Buffett has seen it before unless he's a time traveler.
- skinnymuch 9y agoOP talking about other phenoms. [S]he says that. IE the dot com bubble and some of the insane stock prices.
- brndnmtthws 9y agoLast I checked Bitcoin wasn't a stock.
- epistasis 9y agoAh yes, something that's never existed before. While true in the technological particulars, it's dead wrong economically. There are all sorts of "never seen before" tradable things that show up in the economy. That people think that cryptocurrencies are so different is evidence that Buffet is right, not the economic newbs. See also the efforts to force "blockchain" into all sorts of round holes where it doesn't fit, such as energy.
- brndnmtthws 9y agoThere is nothing comparable to Bitcoin that previously existed. Gold is perhaps the closest thing.
- epistasis 9y agoHaha, gold! The only way that gold is comparable is that similar political commentators are running pump schemes! Otherwise, there are plenty of other commodities that bitcoin is as similar to as gold. Currencies of unstable nations are perhaps more similar to bitcoin than gold is. And that's just it: nothing new economically about bitcoin. Nothing that hasn't been theorized to death by economists. Politically, it enables a currency for those with massively unstable governments. It enables some black markets. But the idea that this is something new that Buffet isn't getting, is just silly, and that's been borne out by the paucity of any sort of insight from the bitcoin pumpers. Buffet is right that the current soaring and unstable price is driven by FOMO. Nobody knows what the proper size of the bitcoin economy should be yet, and there's almost no way to value it rationally. The most rational pricing of bitcoin is still wild guesses, but the vast majority of purchasers are doing nothing even remotely like trying to establish a price. They are just buying and hoping it soars. Works great until it doesn't.