But if you try 21.8543 times, the odds invert, to 90% success! Also, you'll probably learn something from all those trials, improving the odds. But a bigger p

But if you try 21.8543 times, the odds invert, to 90% success! Also, you'll probably learn something from all those trials, improving the odds. But a bigger problem is measuring "failure"... how long and hard must you work before calling it quits, for it to count as a trial? Throwing up one "MVP" website a day for 22 days probably shouldn't count... Perhaps, 3 months full-time (about the runway YCers get)? And, 3 months off to recover. So, 11 years, for a 90% shot... assuming you're already imdependemtly wealthy. Like those robbers planning to get money out of bank in the form of a wage for working there, there's probably an easier way.