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Fwiw the last 10 years have an average yoy growth rate of 1.48%, which is a difference in magnitude great enough from 2% to point out. We have population growt
by hkmurakami 9y ago
Fwiw the last 10 years have an average yoy growth rate of 1.48%, which is a difference in magnitude great enough from 2% to point out.
We have population growth fueled by immigration. If not for this the US would have population decline. This is what makes us very much an outlier amongst developed nations [1]. Despite this our pension funding situation does not look good.
[1] Germany probably has strong net inflows of educated workforce from EU nations as well.
- ineedasername 9y agoFrance, Germany, Canada, US, Australia... many or all of the most advanced western nations have positive avg gdp around 1.5 to 2% and positive population growth as well. These are not the primary factors behind failing pension systems. In nearly all cases it ends up that those in charge dont make the required payments. In my home state that is the issue: had the mandated payments been made there would be no crisis. The state broke its own contract and dissobeyed a court order to fund unrelated discretionary spending. The major private pension failures have been similarly aflicted, executive flee a bankrupt company with agregate golden parachutes measured in hundreds of millions but the pension fund was ignored with underpayments for decades. Our retirement systems are broken, and part of it stems from their own excessive costs, but there is no sinhle cause here, its a complex issue with complex causes, and shifting demographics and economic growth are only very minor factors. Bad policy, cynical politics and budget shenanigans, self interested executives, and simple incompetence and hobest mistakes all play the bigger part.