3 ms·
25 years for acceptance are very well aligned with the timeline that Richard P. Gabriel has outlined in "Models of Software Acceptance": • Technology in the la
by zmonx 9y ago
25 years for acceptance are very well aligned with the timeline that Richard P. Gabriel has outlined in "Models of Software Acceptance":
• Technology in the lab (t=0)
• Technology in the first company (t=2–10 years post-lab)
• Technology in the first successful company (t=5–20 years post-lab)
• Technology acceptance (t=10–25 years post-lab)
Source:
https://www.dreamsongs.com/Files/AcceptanceModels.pdf https://www.dreamsongs.com/Files/AcceptanceModels.pdf
In these slides, Richard gives several examples that match this model and includes several additional explanations.
For example:
• First window system: Stanford/SRI/Xerox PARC ~1975, MIT ~1976
• First commercial use: Symbolics (1979), LMI (1979), Xerox Star (~1980), Apple Lisa
(~1982), Apple Macintosh (1984)
• First use by a successful company: Microsoft (~1989)
• Technology acceptance: Microsoft (~1995)
Spreadsheets are another example that is given in the slides.
In fact, 25 years for acceptance are quite common in software. Sometimes, it also takes much longer.