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What the bubble callers miss is that in the middle of a bubble, only cranks call bubble. The opposite is the case now. Every other armchair investor (and their
by apo 9y ago
What the bubble callers miss is that in the middle of a bubble, only cranks call bubble.
The opposite is the case now. Every other armchair investor (and their ivory tower counterparts) is calling bubble now: on Bitcoin; on stocks; on bonds.
Here's how to identify a real bubble. The conventional wisdom says go all in on a single asset. If you don't, you will get rekt. The only people who disagree with this position are cranks.
That's a bubble. It happened in 1999 with stocks and it happened in 2007 with real estate.
No asset is in a bubble at the moment based on this definition because the conventional wisdom is against all of them.