4 ms·
Solid argument.
by byte1918 9y ago
Solid argument.
- pwinnski 9y agoIt's anecdotal, but given the track record of industry analysts regarding iPhone sales and demand, it's no less solid than the linked article, IMO.
- byte1918 9y agoOk, well, very few of my friends decided to get an X (because of price, some missing features etc.), some even switched to Android. Does me saying this add anything new to the discussion? Not really. I expect ycombinator to be more than just people contradicting each other with anecdotal data.
- pwinnski 9y agoMy "anecdotal" label was not about "my friends," but because I was not willing to provide a very, very, very long list of analysts consistently making incredibly poor estimations of Apple shipping volumes. It's a concrete enough history that I know I'm not alone in having seen it every year, but I don't want to spend the hours providing links to prove it. Apple does not release shipment or sales numbers mid-quarter, and analysts have repeatedly demonstrated that they consistently misunderstand mid-quarter indicators of shipping/sales volume. I'm granting the benefit of the doubt there. It's also possible that there's widespread market manipulation or deliberately-false headlines for clickbait, but I'll assume they're just consistently wrong.