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Assuming McArdle isn't secretly worried about Marx's declining rate of profit in capitalism, then maybe returns to capital are falling because returns to labor
by chrismealy 16y ago
Assuming McArdle isn't secretly worried about Marx's declining rate of profit in capitalism, then maybe returns to capital are falling because returns to labor are increasing. That should be good news for people who work for a living -- unless the only workers capturing those gains are in the boardroom. Uh oh.
BTW, average (geometric) returns for the US have been around 6% after inflation. The global average is about 5%. No country has averaged as high as 8%.
http://chrismealy.blogspot.com/2009/08/real-return-on-stocks.html http://chrismealy.blogspot.com/2009/08/real-return-on-stocks...
In the old days (before the 1970s), with expensive brokers, expensive commissions, no index funds, and taxes incurred from rebalancing, just getting the average market return easily could have eaten up 2% of your return. It shouldn't surprise people that stock returns would fall as costs fell. The after-expenses return was never as high as those historical charts suggested.
- brazzy 16y agomaybe returns to capital are falling because returns to labor are increasing. From everything I see, the opposite is the case, at least in the USA and Europe. Maybe it's the Chinese labor that's getting a bigger share of the returns. But I suspect that most of the "missing returns" go to those that exploit weaknesses in the financial system and know how to hide their profits, i.e. investment banks, hedge funds etc.