I think the original quote is "The stock market has forecast nine of the last five recessions." 1966 https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Paul_Samuelson https://en.wik

I think the original quote is "The stock market has forecast nine of the last five recessions." 1966 https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Paul_Samuelson https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Paul_Samuelson But the idea probably applies to most predictions :)