Isn't it part of the issue that he conflates sequences with totals? As he notes there are trillions of ways to get between 40 and 50 heads. Our surprise isn't

Isn't it part of the issue that he conflates sequences with totals? As he notes there are trillions of ways to get between 40 and 50 heads. Our surprise isn't in the sequence but the distribution of outcomes? I would absolutely be "surprised" if someone accurately predicted a coin flip 92 times regardless of the distribution of heads and tails.