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Because I, for one, didn't know it was happening and therefore could not participate. My chance of having my opinion count was zero. So pretty much by definitio
by pmyteh 9y ago
Because I, for one, didn't know it was happening and therefore could not participate. My chance of having my opinion count was zero. So pretty much by definition the poll is not representative of the universe of people-who-include-me. And by induction of all the other people who had no chance to participate.
If you want to know more, I recipient looking up the 1936 Literary Digest poll for US President, one of the most famous screwups caused by non-random sampling: https://www.math.upenn.edu/~deturck/m170/wk4/lecture/case1.html https://www.math.upenn.edu/~deturck/m170/wk4/lecture/case1.h...
- dominotw 9y agoits the same with US polls, everyone having an opportunity is merely theoretical. Lots of people are unable to votes for all sorts of reasons. Perhaps explain how you are defining * opportunity to participate* .
- pmyteh 9y agoIf you're arguing that elections with less than 100% turnout are flawed as models of public opinion, I agree with you.