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> We don't have enough data to guess next month's weather let alone the possible effects in 10+ years. Weather is very different from climate. As an example, f
by diffeomorphism 9y ago
> We don't have enough data to guess next month's weather let alone the possible effects in 10+ years.
Weather is very different from climate. As an example, for many regions of the world you can accurately predict the average rain fall per year, but it is nearly impossible to predict whether it will be raining at noon in 7 weeks from now.
Maybe a better analogy for this audience: Predicting statistics does not require predicting particle orbits. Insurance pricing does not require being able to predict the health of each individual person.
- daxorid 9y ago> Maybe a better analogy for this audience For this audience, try load averages. Your 1m load average will be significantly more volatile and unpredictable than your 15m load average.