5 ms·
Yes
by ueushzvzis 9y ago
Yes
- mikeash 9y agoI’m skeptical.
- autokad 9y agoThe QB's completion percentage is ~57%, meanwhile seatle had one of the best running backs in the league with 4.25 yards per carry in the game. wilson doesnt throw many interceptions, but Lynch almost never fumbles, Wilson was 4 times more likely to turn over the ball than Lynch was. write that down, if they turn the ball over they loose the game. the play they choose increased their risk of loosing over 400%. wilson scores 28% of the time from the 10 (dont have 1 or 5 yard stats), lynch scores 42% of the time from the 5. he even scores more than wilson from 10 yards out (37%), which is not even a valid comparison because they only need 1 yard. There is just no way to cut it, it was a bad decision.
- everdev 9y agoExactly. But it's hard to make a living criticising bad play calls that go well. That's why I think there are so many bandwagon analysts. Same with Atlanta passing while in field goal range last Super Bowl and getting a holding penalty and a sack that forced them to punt and gave the Patriots a chance to tie.
- hkmurakami 9y agoHow do the stats change when the opposing team knows what you know about these stats? That's a very relevant dampening factor.
- lazyasciiart 9y agoFrom memory, the explanation for the play was that everyone expected them to go with Lynch, so they tried the pass for the surprise factor, and still had the fourth down to go with Lynch if the pass failed. So yes, very much affected by knowing that the opponent knows your stats.
- mikeash 9y agoYou've done a good job convincing me that it was a bad play. But I'm still not convinced that people would be calling it a bad play if it had worked.
- sctb 9y agoYou've been posting mostly uncivil and/or unsubstantive comments. Could you please read the guidelines and start following them? https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html