5 ms·
Looks basically like black swan theory. Looking for explanations as if someone could have seen this coming.
by Arbalest 9y ago
Looks basically like black swan theory. Looking for explanations as if someone could have seen this coming.
- goialoq 9y agoNo, it's simple misunderstanding of randomness. Black swans are unpredicatable unmodelable events. "Resulting" just means misjudging well-modeledrandom events. It's thinking that if you win a small prize on a lottery ticket, that buying the ticket was a good choice _because you won_. While in reality, it was more likely that you'd lose.