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As any predictions in the past, this one is expecting too much change too soon, and most in wrong directions. Look back 13 years (12 to be more precise) - how m

As any predictions in the past, this one is expecting too much change too soon, and most in wrong directions. Look back 13 years (12 to be more precise) - how much had our lives changed compared to 2005-2006? Screens got a bit bigger, computers a bit faster (not really, thanx to all the clutter), mobile got better. Daily lives are exactly the same for most of us, and most changes are not due to technological advances, but simple changes in our lives due to aging, changing employers, having kids, changing priorities etc. For example I will do all I can to have a simple, disconnected household. Nobody is going to change billions of simply working toilets to these stupid fecal-izers. Definitely not in increasingly rental society, where KISS approach prevails, and for good reasons.

ianai 9y ago
We also had a global Great Recession. That’s about a decade of backward progression. The real factor here is whether we’ll see another recession of similar magnitude. If we do, then we’ll be lucky to see equally similar changes. As for probability, it feels like the market needs a correction as does society. Trump/Brexit are a reaction to many things.
gepi79 9y ago
AI became a lot better. Many AI experts would have bet against Alpha Go in 2015. GPU became a lot faster. Mobile CPU became a lot faster. Desktop CPU and RAM evolution disappoints completely. I guess because there is no software that demands innovation. AI can not yet replace many jobs for technical reasons. But this can change quickly.
ameister14 9y ago
People now routinely order all their gifts and appliances online; small things as well as large purchases are made online. Television is consumed less and less and in an effort to maintain viewership the 24 hour news cycle has become the norm. In many countries, person to person market exchanges are now carried out through the internet and phones, enabling more, and more flexible, businesses. Taxis have been supplemented and are being replaced by car services you summon with a tap from your phone. The music industry has been completely re-made. There are a large variety of new types of jobs including digital marketing, design and programming positions that didn't previously exist. Millions of people have some kind of robot servant, either a vacuum cleaner like Roomba or a concierge type like Alexa.
- saiya-jin 9y ago
  Millions of people sounds precisely like 0.1% of human population. Let's not forget Aibo was available since 1999 and Alexa is unavailable to >90% of world population because it's in english (plus its a crap buggy product far from ideal what this article describes). You're proving my point - things you listed were mostly completely there by 2005 (internet shopping? much earlier. person to person exchanges? did it in 90s online too). I don't claim world is static, that's impossible by principle. But all you list is either insignificant to vast majority of population or just evolved and matured (people moved from mp3 collections to spotify... so what? You still have some small device for music. And i keep my flacs and using internet radio just like before. No revolution there) I see this wish for progress all the time, who wouldn't like to live in the future. It will come, but not as described, and NOT in 10-15 years.

ianai 9y ago

We also had a global Great Recession. That’s about a decade of backward progression. The real factor here is whether we’ll see another recession of similar magnitude. If we do, then we’ll be lucky to see equally similar changes. As for probability, it feels like the market needs a correction as does society. Trump/Brexit are a reaction to many things.

gepi79 9y ago

AI became a lot better. Many AI experts would have bet against Alpha Go in 2015. GPU became a lot faster. Mobile CPU became a lot faster. Desktop CPU and RAM evolution disappoints completely. I guess because there is no software that demands innovation. AI can not yet replace many jobs for technical reasons. But this can change quickly.

ameister14 9y ago

People now routinely order all their gifts and appliances online; small things as well as large purchases are made online. Television is consumed less and less and in an effort to maintain viewership the 24 hour news cycle has become the norm. In many countries, person to person market exchanges are now carried out through the internet and phones, enabling more, and more flexible, businesses. Taxis have been supplemented and are being replaced by car services you summon with a tap from your phone. The music industry has been completely re-made. There are a large variety of new types of jobs including digital marketing, design and programming positions that didn't previously exist. Millions of people have some kind of robot servant, either a vacuum cleaner like Roomba or a concierge type like Alexa.

saiya-jin 9y ago
Millions of people sounds precisely like 0.1% of human population. Let's not forget Aibo was available since 1999 and Alexa is unavailable to >90% of world population because it's in english (plus its a crap buggy product far from ideal what this article describes). You're proving my point - things you listed were mostly completely there by 2005 (internet shopping? much earlier. person to person exchanges? did it in 90s online too). I don't claim world is static, that's impossible by principle. But all you list is either insignificant to vast majority of population or just evolved and matured (people moved from mp3 collections to spotify... so what? You still have some small device for music. And i keep my flacs and using internet radio just like before. No revolution there) I see this wish for progress all the time, who wouldn't like to live in the future. It will come, but not as described, and NOT in 10-15 years.