3 ms·
Oscillation happens in many complex systems - population sizes etc. I think the reasons for why cycles happen in economies are many. It's probably desirable to
by dharma1 9y ago
Oscillation happens in many complex systems - population sizes etc.
I think the reasons for why cycles happen in economies are many. It's probably desirable to reduce the amplitude of the cycles, but I'm not convinced humans are capable of that. Due to biological reasons, reward functions are almost always short term. Humans, as individuals and societies, are not very good at optimisations at longer time scales.
I'd like to think that we are capable of more, but it may be that we are not. AI (at some stage) might be able to help us there, if it turns out to have better predictive power than humans - and doesn't lead to more ruin rather than improvement in the human condition.