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I'm not in Pittsburgh or any of the places where people are taking rides in Uber's autonomous test vehicles, but from a few YouTube videos it appears they can't
by Fricken 9y ago
I'm not in Pittsburgh or any of the places where people are taking rides in Uber's autonomous test vehicles, but from a few YouTube videos it appears they can't get more than a few blocks in urban traffic without needing human intervention. They've been at it for about 2.5 years now, not including the work that was inherited from the CMU robotics department.
I think if a company can program and train an autonomous vehicle to reliably go 5 or 10 miles in city traffic, then it's an indicator they've got the genius level problems solved. Safety validation is a whole other ball game, labour intensive but not super difficult.
A few companies have passed that benchmark. There are others who, in spite of being ambitious and well-capitalized, and having had a few years to incubate, appear to be painting by numbers, and don't seem to know what to do when the instruction manual runs out of instructions.
Talent is the big X factor in this race and not everybody's got it. Do you think Uber will be ready to receive another 24,000 Volvo's on top of the ~200 they've got somewhere in the 2019/2020 timeframe?
I'm not betting on it.