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> The fall, like the rise of a civilisation is a highly complex operation which can only be distorted by oversimplification I agree with this and actually thin
by ptero 9y ago
> The fall, like the rise of a civilisation is a highly complex operation which can only be distorted by oversimplification
I agree with this and actually think the article does a decent job of arguing this case against the alarmist approach "X killed civilization A; let's put a lot our efforts in combating X now", which seems to be getting more and more common today.
> Any time you see population levels in precipitous decline, accompanied by a dramatic loss of technological and organisational capabilities, you are seeing evidence of some extremely unhappy individuals whose civilisations are, for them, collapsing.
It seems to me that you are switching definitions somewhat. I understood the article's "civilizational" collapse to mean a level of decline that, once the society crosses some Rubicon, is irreversible within a generation or two. If I understand your argument you are using collapse from personal perspective: enough people see their lives collapse or decline enough.
To me, that second definition is a lot less severe. If you look at Eastern Europe during the second world war (Cambodia of Pol Pot's times, etc. etc.) those events are likely to be viewed as a collapse by many people suffering through them, the civilization is not lost and society bounces back within at most a couple of generations once the stimuli are reset.
- adrianN 9y agoThe difference between localized collapses today and in the late Bronze Age is that today's communication and trade is so much faster that rebuilding within a couple of decades is feasible. Knowledge isn't really lost and what material goods have been destroyed can quickly be manufactured and imported from elsewhere. This was not the case for most of human history. Once you lost people knowing, e.g. how to forge metal, that knowledge had to be rediscovered mostly from scratch. Trade has been extremely slow, so rebuilding infrastructure was much more difficult. Luckily we haven't seen a globalized collapse and a dark age in quite some time.
- dbingham 9y agoComputer modeling suggests climate change might just do it though. The disruptions that come from it would only continue to become more extreme post-collapse -- and our ability to quickly adjust in such a way as to reduce them would be destroyed with civilization -- making rebuilding difficult or impossible. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/mar/14/nasa-civilisation-irreversible-collapse-study-scientists https://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/m...