> Twenty-five years later, Megison is now president and CEO of Solutions for Change, a nonprofit transitional housing program for homeless families in North Cou

> Twenty-five years later, Megison is now president and CEO of Solutions for Change, a nonprofit transitional housing program for homeless families in North County San Diego. Key to Solutions’ success is its requirement that families stay sober and go through an intensive, structured 1,000-day residential program that includes classes on parenting, servant leadership, job training, and financial literacy. Ninety-three percent of families who have graduated from the program are still housed, employed, and self-sustaining. Housing First has undergone randomized assessments. Has Solutions for Change? Touting a 93% (!!!) 'success rate' reminds me of the bogus AA claims, where they report similar literally unbelievable success rates (and note the overlap of alcoholism with homelessness) by a variety of mechanisms like screening out the hard cases, excluding anyone who doesn't complete the program, ultra-small samples, using weak endpoints like very short-term followups of self-reports or additional attrition, publication bias, p-hacking various outcomes and adding new ones on the fly etc. As a rule, there are no interventions with 93% success rates for such intractable problems as schizophrenia, alcoholism and drug addictions, homelessness, or poverty - the experiment has died and the statistician can only do a post-mortem.