6 ms·
Move over Elo - crowdsourcing a new chess rating system
- oconnor0 16y agoI think that one of the interesting areas for Elo-type ratings is in online video games. Especially where teams are involved. How do you rate a single player based on what they did in a team game?
- thehigherlife 16y agoLeague of Legends comes to mind with that, their matchmaking system has seen some growing pains for this exact reason.
- noarchy 16y agoWorld of Warcraft did something similar with its arena teams. Don't ask me to quote details, though, or to tell you how successful it was. Others can probably do that better.
- roryokane 16y agoI just read a blog post today about Starcraft 2’s rating system: http://www.sirlin.net/blog/2010/7/24/analyzing-starcraft-2s-ranking-system.html http://www.sirlin.net/blog/2010/7/24/analyzing-starcraft-2s-.... It seems like Microsoft’s TrueSkill system described there might be very applicable to this chess-ranking problem.
- datageek 16y agoat 50 years old - it's probably due for an upgrade!
- jaboody 16y agoAs someone who has played competitive chess for many years, I am impressed with just how robust and reliable the elo rating system has proven to be. A 100 point difference between two players suggests that the stronger player will score 66% ((1#wins + 0.5#draws + 0*#losses)/#totalgames) and a 200 point difference will predict the stronger player will score 75%.
- Tycho 16y agoI've been playing on FICS recently. I've always been an average player - good enough to beat my friends but usually lose against anyone who has 'studied' the game. However I decided to try a new strategy: knock them out of their opening book at the earliest opportunity. Spectacular results so far: beat a player rated 300 Elo above me in 9 moves! Probably a fluke though, but still it generally seems to give me a much better chance (I don't have the patience to learn the opening theory).
- Charuru 16y agoMy favorite strategy is also the all in zerg rush. Works wonders even at higher levels.
- jacquesm 16y agoI played competition chess for a bit I once nearly got a chessboard thrown at me for that trick ;) As you say, it works wonders and it throws 'book players' of their game like almost nothing else. Suddenly they have to play instead of regurgitate.
- nanijoe 16y agoYou were most assuredly playing against below average players. Most of the early part of a chess game is spent trying to establish an 'opening line' and can transform several times depending on what moves both players make. So, you as white could set out trying to play the English and find your self ending up with the QGD. If you don't learn the theory behind the openings (whether by reading or by observation) you will remain a below average player for a long time
- lkozma 16y agoElo system is really cool, when I was a kid, I thought the name Élő (the inventor's name) is meant literally, as it means "live" in Hungarian, so I thought it is just something that is being constantly updated, which it is in fact.
- Perceval 16y agoI bet a modification of PageRank would be a fun place to start. I've been participating in a website that uses directed acyclic graphs to rank NFL teams (http://beatpaths.com http://beatpaths.com), but lately I've been thinking about PageRank after reading a paper on it: http://www.ncsu.edu/crsc/reports/ftp/pdf/crsc-tr06-19.pdf http://www.ncsu.edu/crsc/reports/ftp/pdf/crsc-tr06-19.pdf You could probably make similar adjustments to PageRank to make it suitable for chess.
- ulvund 16y agoI tried modifications for PageRank for rating soccer teams, and I will say it provided a questionable rating and not very good predictions compared to other rating methods.
- adamt 16y agoEverybody's submitted solutions to this seemed to have an RMSE of 0.794 to 0.808 which seemed a bit odd to all converge in such a narrow range. I don't think my solution is that clever, but it's gone straight to the top of the leader-board with a 0.70 RMSE.
- jasonb05 16y agowhat was your methodology or general strategy?