3 ms·
Ridiculous predictions. Human drivers legislated away in 20 years max? Please, as if the police or public services would trust their transportation to an algor
by rm_-rf_slash 9y ago
Ridiculous predictions. Human drivers legislated away in 20 years max? Please, as if the police or public services would trust their transportation to an algorithm, publicly.
More likely the insurance companies will aggressively raise premiums on drivers who insist on retaining their option to drive themselves. Markets will price people out of the driver’s seat and into the passenger’s.
And the idea that people wouldn’t buy their own cars or that luxury cars would fall by the wayside is ridiculous. The FIRST major self driving cars are going to be in the luxury market, and the companies doing so are already there (Tesla, Volvo, Mercedes-Benz). Having a self-driving car will become the ultimate status symbol among the upper middle class. And you can bet that Hollywood and Madison Avenue will inundate the populace with scenes and ads of attractive young people stepping out of luxurious autonomous cars as soon as they’re on the market.
And of course no discussion whatsoever on rural areas or even people that don’t want self-driving cars. Personally I hate driving but most people I know do enjoy it and wouldn’t fully trust a self driving car not to get hacked and fling them off the nearest cliff.
Something the article absolutely misses is that cars are not simply a means of transportation. They are also a moving storage shed: Umbrellas, rain boots, an extra jacket, diapers, child car seats...
For an article chock-full of futurism, it was surprisingly low on genuine imagination...or even robust analysis.
- dsfyu404ed 9y ago>More likely the insurance companies will aggressively raise premiums on drivers who insist on retaining their option to drive themselves. Markets will price people out of the driver’s seat and into the passenger’s. Or not. The people who want to stare at their phone will self select the autonomous option leaving only the "good" drivers
- bryanlarsen 9y ago"More likely the insurance companies will aggressively raise premiums on drivers who insist on retaining their option to drive themselves. Markets will price people out of the driver’s seat and into the passenger’s." The dedicated self-driving lane with its 150mph speed limit beside the manual drive lane with a 60mph speed limit will also convince a lot of people to buy/rent a self-driving car.