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This is a particularly good counterpoint to some of the ideas in the article: http://www.economist.com/node/16479024?story_id=16479024 http://www.economist.com
by thansen 16y ago
This is a particularly good counterpoint to some of the ideas in the article:
http://www.economist.com/node/16479024?story_id=16479024 http://www.economist.com/node/16479024?story_id=16479024
* Even though stocks have fallen in the last decade, they are still historically expensive. Because the fell from such a high peak in 2000.
* The more people that follow the author's advice of investing in shares (the cult of equity), the worse their
collective return will be.
* Unrelated but interesting is that high-yield bonds have outperformed stocks since 1995.
If you'd invested $1,000 a month since 1970 you'd be rich. Yes, but $1,000 a month in 1970 was a lot of money. In 1970 the median household income was around $800 a month (in 1970 dollars).
It'd be more informative to know how rich you'd now be if you'd invested in stocks something like 20% of the median household income for the past 40 years.
- Unseelie 16y agoI dug up information on the median household income, and the growth of the S&P500, since 1975. Built a spreadsheet based on 10% of the median household income, twenty percent being a huge, huge cut into the money a family could spend at the median levels. Check it out: https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=t1GNFHQzYRcc4aWOlvZq31A#gid=0 https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=t1GNFHQzYRcc4aWOlvZq...