3 ms·
assuming you want a bayesian approach? take a flat prior and look at the MAP? though you know its just going to be the observed rate. if you know you only have
by the_cat_kittles 9y ago
assuming you want a bayesian approach? take a flat prior and look at the MAP? though you know its just going to be the observed rate. if you know you only have a fair coin or a double head coin just compare their likelihoods? what is the point you are trying to get at?
- yters 9y agoSolomonoff induction and universal probability.
- the_cat_kittles 9y agohow about something specific. how would you answer the question you proposed used bayesian methods?
- yters 9y agoP(all heads|double headed coin) = 1 P(all heads|fair coin) = 2^{-L} Applying Bayes gets P(double headed coin|all heads) >> P(fair coin|all heads) for a long enough sequence.
- the_cat_kittles 9y agothats what i suggested originally, essentially