You can’t expect to reason about this without some background in economics. Instead of telling you what I think (because to you I’m indistinguishable from all t

You can’t expect to reason about this without some background in economics. Instead of telling you what I think (because to you I’m indistinguishable from all the other people responding with random guesses), I’m going to suggest that you read some introductory texts about economics and finance and you can probably form some reasonable opinions yourself.