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It's an interesting part of Stafford Beer's life story all right. But as somebody recently said on twitter, Uber has solved the calculation problem (https://en.
by theoh 9y ago
It's an interesting part of Stafford Beer's life story all right. But as somebody recently said on twitter, Uber has solved the calculation problem (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_calculation_problem https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_calculation_problem) but certain parties on the left are still going on about Cybersyn, apparently mostly because of its retro-stylish control room. There's even a trendy cybernetics-inspired conference in New York this month: cybernetics.social
Gerovitch seems as good a guide as there is to the topic, speaking as someone who's been hearing about it and reading bits and pieces for over 10 years (of course it's never mentioned in CS programmes).
Eden Medina's 2011 book about Cybersyn was well received and tends to crop up in trendy bookstores. I don't mean to disparage all this but there are good reasons why the notions of cybernetics are not central to pedagogy in any field these days.
- narrator 9y agoUber has solved the economic calculation problem except for that little detail that it loses billions of dollars ever year. In fact, any business that can make a profit without subsidies has solved the economic calculation problem, at least on a smaller than nationwide scale. Maybe if Amazon in 20 years has vertically integrated enough that it is the only business operating in the country and it replaces money with just telling everyone what to do and the whole thing operating on pure faith in Amazon's benevolence it would have solved the economic calculation problem.
- deleted 9y ago[deleted]
- Animats 9y agoArguably, Wal-Mart solved this years ago. Wal-Mart is very centralized. It's so centralized that store thermostats are controlled from Master Control in Bentonville, Arkansas. One of Sam Walton's big points is that Wal-Mart's success was not due to scale. It was because they were moving data around instead of inventory. Retail used to involve lots of product taking up space in warehouses, store back rooms, and shelves in the store. All that costs the retailer money. Wal-Mart was the first big chain to get this under control, so that product flow followed sales flow very closely. This has an enormous financial benefit. Big retailers typically pay 30 days behind shipments. Wal-Mart (and presumably Amazon) usually have sold the product before they even have paid their supplier. So their inventory cost is negative. Now that's cash flow management. Wal-Mart was one of the first retailers to bar-code everything. They meant everything. Wal-Mart has a buying center in Bentonville, known in retail as the Corridor of Doom. They put up signs along the line of "If your product isn't bar-coded, don't bother coming in". In typical Wal-Mart fashion, they made the suppliers apply the bar codes, both at the retail item and case level. (They've been trying to move to RFID, but it hasn't worked out as well.) Gosplan was always very slow. They had a monthly information cycle and an annual decision cycle. Wal-Mart had a daily information cycle and a weekly decision cycle years ago, and it's probably faster now. If Gosplan had made it to the bar-code era, they might have been able to make centralized planning work.
- pjc50 9y agoProbably worth distinguishing between the "cybernetics" of control loops and mechanical control systems, which is still very much a thing, versus "organisational cybernetics" and similar attempts to automate human organisations.
- nickik 9y agoWhat an absurd clam that Uber has solved the economic calculation problem.
- theoh 9y agoIt was someone else's tweet, so I'm afraid I can't comment in any more detail on what they meant. The general idea that 60s cybernetic thinking has little relevance to the concrete present possibilities of economic coordination via internet, that seems sound to me.
- nickik 9y agoMaybe understand stuff before you just you base your argument on it. That 60s cybernetics is not the answer is pretty clear and that it has little implications on modern potential answers is also pretty clear.
- UncleEntity 9y agoIf Uber had solved the economic calculation problem their algorithm wouldn't need to change prices in response to increasing demand -- that's the very argument of ECP, that without information conveyed through prices it is impossible to efficiently allocate resources. Let's say you have two uber customers at 1am on a Saturday night and one available car, A needs to get to work or they lose their minimum wage job and B is a young professional out drinking with friends who just got a text for a booty call. Which do you suppose is going to get the ride according to uber's "solution" to the economic calculation problem? Though I would like the see the actual argument other that "some dude on twitter said".