Most bad decisions find their origin in either relying to heavily on ones own thoughts, or not sufficiently trusting them. Having a good meta-instinct for know

Most bad decisions find their origin in either relying to heavily on ones own thoughts, or not sufficiently trusting them. Having a good meta-instinct for knowing when to cede to conventional wisdom and when to trust your own instincts is like a superpower. It's standing on the shoulders of giants and then reaching a little further. Building a strong conceptual foundation around this problem could be really useful.