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If the chance you'll pick the best option is 37%, what is the chance you'll pick someone in the top 2, or the top 5? Another way of asking is, does it raise th
by kornork 9y ago
If the chance you'll pick the best option is 37%, what is the chance you'll pick someone in the top 2, or the top 5?
Another way of asking is, does it raise the odds you'll get someone really good, even if they aren't the best?
- Bromskloss 9y agoI haven't calculated it exactly, but we were playing around with simulation code elsewhere among the comments, and my version [0] calculates the hiring frequency for each candidate, not just the best one, so you could look at the tail of the list called "hires". [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15573921 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15573921