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I've noticed that overly excited articles are tend to be nonsense until they're finally true. I know that sounds like tautological nonsense, but the trick come
by steego 9y ago
I've noticed that overly excited articles are tend to be nonsense until they're finally true.
I know that sounds like tautological nonsense, but the trick comes down to predicting when these things will become real rather than if they become real. From my experience, if you want a good indication, look at price/performance trends for a particular technology. If that technology has no price/performance data, look at the price/performance data of its components or related technologies.
If you can't find price/performance data, then don't get too excited yet.
- Alex3917 9y ago> I've noticed that overly excited articles are tend to be nonsense until they're finally true. The funny thing is that if you reread Wired's article about Push, which they've been made fun of for ever since writing it, the only thing that hasn't come true is the technologies they predicted would power it. But other than that it's a perfect description of Reddit, Facebook, YouTube, etc. https://www.wired.com/1997/03/ff-push/ https://www.wired.com/1997/03/ff-push/
- dredmorbius 9y agoFunny, but I was thinking pretty much the same thing about push a day or so back myself.