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The Future of Online Dating Is Unsexy and Brutally Effective
- bdamm 9y agoWhen people talk about AI threatening humanity I suspect folks imagine The T-2000 model Terminator. But here is the real thing; AI is going to change our society in a profound and slow-moving way, very different from our perspective of how war and soldiers change power structures.
- maerF0x0 9y agoTo me the frightening thing is that people seem to be unable to differentiate between no data and the negative case. For example * No Fitbit data == "You're inactive * No Open source github commits == "you dont like code" * Few Facebook friends == "you dont have friends" * Few Instagram posts == "You dont do anything"
- jackweirdy 9y agoCurrently playing the same game with my health insurance, who suggest linking my watch health metrics to "boost my health score". (I'm currently bronze and I could be at Silver! Someone must have watched the gamification TED talk). Not wanting my insurer to have that data presumably to them means I'm unfit, rather than skeptical of what they're going to do with it
- throwaway2016a 9y agoJust get a dog and tie it to their collar. I'm joking of course, I do not condone insurance fraud.
- HeyLaughingBoy 9y agoIn this case, you probably should :-)
- the8472 9y agoFirst they have to know or infer with reasonable certainty that you have a fitness tracker to even attempt a further inference that you're not sharing the data because you're lazy. So if they somehow can profile you well enough to know that you already lost the privacy game.
- JoshTriplett 9y agoNot at all; it's in their best interests to lump the "no data provided" bucket somewhere around the average, perhaps below as an incentive to provide the data. They don't have to know if you have a fitness tracker at all to enact such a policy.
- dogruck 9y agoYou're right, but I think you're overly simplifying the problem by ignoring the alternatives. At one end of the spectrum, insurance companies, or dating apps, have essentially no data. So every person is charged equally, which I think is unfair (some might disagree). To improve, companies collect data via a questionnaire. The obvious problem is people lie -- often unintentionally. The next step is to use genuine data. And, there are certainly issues with that. It's just not clear to me that the issues outweigh the problems with the alternative scenarios.
- bsaul 9y ago"the road to hell is paved with good intentions" As someone who worked for an online marketing company and designed its tracking system, i can tell you that’s the most frightening part of it. Everything is logic,and is a logical evolution or improvement of the previous state. Every intrusion of foreign company into your private life will be done for your own good, or at least for the benefit of the society. You don’t even need an evil genius at the head of some powerful tech company for 1984 to happen, because it’s simply the logic of the whole system we’re living it, that’s meant to go this road.
- dogruck 9y agoI hear you. I'm concerned about all of the privacy that we are giving away. That's one reason I'm not on Facebook, and decline most "deals" at retailers. My point is that it's important to consider all of the trade offs. The Algos have pros and cons.
- noir_lord 9y ago> The next step is to use genuine data. Or the way the world is going the next step is a startup that sells an arm that tricks smart watches into thinking they are on a human arm that is exercising regularly...
- dogruck 9y agoSure, or when your doctor asks, "how much alcohol do you drink each week?" you answer, "not much -- maybe a glass of wine on Friday and Saturday."
- Yetanfou 9y agoIt won't be long before "No Twitter, no Facebook, no Instagram, no Snapchat, no G+, no nothing" will translate to "a catch" in dating app terms: someone with whom to share life as we know it, not as we want others to think we live it. Then again, maybe I'm overestimating the intelligence (or integrity) of dating app purveyors. After all, 'real' people are so hard to monetise...
- bdamm 9y agoI suspect that people who avoid social networks will start to form increasingly independent social circles from people who generally engage in social networks. Furthermore, these circles will change over the lifetime of individuals. For example, I was an avid user of IRC back in the late '90s. That medium formed my social experience and those people became many of my life-long friends. These days many of my friends from that time (including myself) don't use social networks much at all; Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter included. We've been there, done that, and are finding human engagement without social networks to be more satisfying. Consequently, my contemporary relationships are not significantly maintained through social networks and whether someone is or is not on Facebook or Instagram has no bearing on whether my relationships are maintained. A wise friend of mine once said "Facebook is for people you don't know!"
- j45 9y agoIRC is a successful form of social media that centered around communication and enriched our physical lives. It's nice to hear others have also held onto the friendships from that time. When I hear people excited about slack, I see it as the modern day irc client, also focused around communication. ICQ/AIM took a big chunk out of irc, but it still didn't allow people to connect in channels. Now we have networks where people aren't communicating as much as sharing and interacting with moments.
- noir_lord 9y agoNot only held on to them but still making new ones, I hang around in an offtopic channel for a framework I don't even use any more because I made friends with a bunch of the people in there, hell I'd say half the channel doesn't use that framework anymore but a lot of us are solo devs in companies that aren't software companies so it's become our de facto water cooler.
- leggomylibro 9y agoIt becomes sort of a self-fulfilling prophecy, if you append with other people and don't use those services. You might have a few close friends, have a favorite jogging route, make cool stuff, etc. But from the perspective of people heavily invested in those platforms, you don't. And as the number of people on these monoplatforms trends towards 100%... Well, I dunno, maybe it's just big cities that are like that.
- QAPereo 9y agoStrictly speaking, most people wouldn’t even understand your first sentence.
- zeveb 9y ago> But in the future, apps could identify sexists/racists/homophobes by their social media activity and preemptively blacklist them from joining. (Maybe this would aid the industry’s problem with harassment, too.) I don't think blackballing people due to statistical inferences about their behaviour is any better than harassment. > I’d guess the findings were racist: OkCupid statistics show that even though people say they don’t care about race when choosing a partner, they usually act as if they do. It's weird that wanting to produce children with someone of the same ethnic background as oneself is seen as racist. It seems quite unremarkably normal to prefer folks from a similar background. There's nothing wrong, of course, with those who choose someone different than themselves, but I think they're the outliers.
- Analemma_ 9y ago> I don't think blackballing people due to statistical inferences about their behaviour is any better than harassment. What? Harassment is active disruption of your life. Hiding you from someone's search results or "compatibility" list is not. It's not a great future, but let's have some perspective and not equate apples with oranges.
- zeveb 9y agoBlacklisting people is active disruption of their lives, too. If it's based on statistical modelling, not actual misdeeds, then it's not even based on what they've done.
- pwinnski 9y agoSomething can be normal and racist at the same time. Racism is pretty normal. I think wanting to produce children with someone of the same ethnic background as oneself is very mildly racist, but it's not nothing.
- alehul 9y ago> it’s paired with the language processing company Receptiviti.ai to compute the compatibility between me and its user base using the contents of our Twitter feeds. They're measuring compatibility on language analysis of your tweets? This seems inefficient and unnecessary. Wouldn't it be both simpler and more effective to analyze who you follow for compatibility? In regards to feeds themselves, retweeting the same article could be a great talking point and measure of similar interests.
- bambax 9y ago> Already, some apps do this by learning patterns in who we left and right swipe on, the same way Netflix makes recommendations from the movies we’ve liked in the past. Netflix recommendations are utterly bad. Musk et al. warn us constantly about "AI" and its dangers, but so far AI doesn't seem to work very well. Translating from Italian to English with Google Translate results in complete gibberish; Amazon (the other recommendation engine everyone mentions in that kind of discussion) is only ever able to suggest products one has already bought. It's probably hard to judge the efficiency of those dating systems since there is no control, and people want them to work. It would be interesting to compare a "sophisticated" dating engine with a more random one and see if there's any difference in outcome.
- p-funk 9y ago> so far The dangers of AI are theoretical ones that will show up if AI reaches somewhere close to human levels of competence. The fact that it doesn't work well right now should be compared to computers speed today vs computers not being very fast in the 1960s, for example. I'm not totally sure about the "singularity" concept. But I also think today's level of sophistication should not mean any and all concerns about AI should be dismissed outright.
- xirdstl 9y agoYes, I don't see the "brutally effective" part. It's just clickbait.
- frgtpsswrdlame 9y agoMusk's hype of AI is just marketing.
- ksikka 9y agoDating apps/sites that employ the strategy of "get as much data as possible and match intelligently" have failed to compete for users against Tinder, the dumbest, simplest dating app that hardly does any intelligent matching at all. This implies that it's not the sophistication of a dating app that matters, it's the simplicity and ability to attract a userbase that in turn attracts a larger userbase etc in a virtuous cycle.
- dogruck 9y agoPossible that you are not giving enough credit to Tinder's algorithm for sorting the profiles that you're presented with? There's a lot of information buried in how you swipe and message and edit.
- Analemma_ 9y agoTinder is doing a lot more intelligent matching than you think. The CTO of OKCupid (which is owned by the same parent company) was on a podcast a few weeks ago where he briefly discussed some of the algorithmic challenges of Tinder. They include: - it may not seem like it, but Tinder does try to pick people it thinks are most likely to produce a match, based on-- to be brutally honest-- your attractiveness (as determined by who has swiped for you) and the other person's - it then orders them approximately from most likely to least likely, but it has to know how often to start over, because eventually as you go down the list you'll eventually start running into people that you're less likely to swipe right on than the people you already passed up - carefully arranging things so that "super likes" have a reasonable chance of producing a match while also not inundating very attractive people with nothing but super likes from people they will never respond to (which would drive them off the service) It's a tough challenge and Tinder is not at all a "dumb, simple" dating app.
- pedalpete 9y agoMaybe he missed out on some of the other important things Tinder does on the "addiction" side of things. When the app first came out (or possibly when you first start using it), the first person is/was always a match. Then they got clever about hiding matches deeper in the swipes. This triggers addictive behaviour because the "match" reward is inconsistent. Though, clearly, before you start swiping, Tinder knows which matches it is going to present to you. It's a delicate balance to judge how long you will spend swiping, when to show you your match and how to make sure you swipe right a few times to keep the funnel loaded.
- pmlnr 9y agoThis is so wrong. Your partner is someone that balances you, not a mirror of you. Sure, you need a lot of similar interest, but also differences to get a relationship work, and those I don't yet see in these algoritms, not even remotely.
- dogruck 9y agoAren't you assuming that they are matching on equality, not inferred compatibility?
- 3pt14159 9y agoSo I signed up to evaluate the application but after giving the platform access to my timeline I do not see any of the breakdown the author is talking about. Is it because I'm using the web interface?
- odammit 9y agoMarried, so I probably won’t be using that site anytime soon. I did meet my wife on OkCupid and I was doing the Ng ML class at the time and studying NLP and wrote a bit of my own “crawlers” to weed out people, find matches, and draft letters. Intersting thing with this is I have 4 different twitter accounts for all of my different personalities: - political - work related - life(dog) related - shit posting I kind of want to see the different matches I’d get based on my tweet taxonomy.
- purplezooey 9y agoWeren't we promised this 20 years ago? Some has changed, some hasn't.
- forapurpose 9y agoWhat I find most disturbing is the viewpoint underlying this article, an emerging faith in AI and a magical ability to divine things about the world, with no discussion of its strengths and limitations, its false positives, false negatives, true positives, etc. It's starting to approach that point in the adoption curve where skepticism fades and people think of it as the solution for (or threat to) everything, rather than as a tool that is good at some things and not at others and that has characteristics like accuracy. With AI and the widespread blind acceptance of our surveillance society, that could be a dangerous point of view for the public to embrace.
- Mz 9y agoOne of the problems with this idea is that it kind of paints you into a corner. It doesn't allow you to aspire to be the person you desire to be. It predicts that who you are is static and then it helps make that a reality. During my divorce, I intentionally sought to not allow past relationship data to influence whom I hooked up with.* I had been with four people. Three of them were blonde. Three of them were born within a few weeks of me. All four of them were either in the military at the time or joined it later (because we were both just 17). I didn't hate the man I was divorcing. I didn't think I had missed by much on finding a great match for me. I was trying to figure out how to sort the wheat from the chaff. For me, a dating app that said "You clearly like blondes. Here are all the blondes." would have been the exact opposite of what I wanted. I wanted to make personal connections that were not biased by shallow details of that sort. I succeeded in that goal and it was a growth experience. So, to my mind, a dating app that would be this thorough is the dating equivalent of redlining colored communities and not approving mortgages there. I say that because one of the issues was that I had been molested as a child. So, my feeling is that if you limit future relationships based on passed behavior, you are saying that you are 100% fine with painting abuse survivors into a corner they can never, ever escape. And that doesn't sit well with me. I generally like to give life room to surprise me. I have gone out of my way to let men surprise me with being better people than my bad past experiences led me to believe I could find in men. The last thing I want is someone or something essentially telling me "So, we hear you like abusive men who will shit on you. Here are your matches." Yeah, no. I never asked for that. But finding my way out of it has been a long, strange journey because, seriously, society doesn't yet have a good play book for how on earth you do that. So, you very much have to roll your own. * http://micheleincalifornia.blogspot.com/2015/10/reducing-bias-in-dating-small-personal.html http://micheleincalifornia.blogspot.com/2015/10/reducing-bia...
- irremediable 9y agoVery, very well said. This kind of thing risks turning dating into the filter bubble we see in online news -- but worse, because it's a more important part of life. It also ignores how attraction works. Sure, someone may find blond people attractive, but it's seldom a deal-breaker. These algorithms tend to select on characteristics that are easy to assess, discarding many potential partners who'd be more suitable in other ways.