7 ms·

The Anti-Portfolio

306 points by bbourn 9y ago

umanwizard 9y ago
dang: Can the title be changed? I'm not a startup founder so I don't usually read YC-specific stuff, but this article has nothing to do with YC, its actual title doesn't mention YC, and it is funny and of general interest.
ronilan 9y ago
I was rejected years ago and indeed nothing good ever came out of me. There is no hope. ;)
- bbourn 9y ago
  Do Or Do Not. There is No Hope. ;p
- ak39 9y ago
  Some guy I used to go fishing with once told me that startups are like fishing. He said, you know, the traditional line & hook type of fishing. Not the trawler, dredging type of fishing. It's a game of luck mostly. No one really knows where the fish are at any given time. But make sure to only ever fish in a pond in which others have been catching fish. Put your line in and wait. And while you wait make sure you don't starve to death. Also, while you wait, make sure to check up on your mom. Get into shape. Enjoy the scenery. I have since stopped going fishing with that fucker.
  - IndrekR 9y ago
    If you go fishing, you should cut the hook off the line before you cast. Otherwise getting the fish may ruin the fishing. Unfortunately some people think along the same line about running a company, not necessarily a startup one. Oh, and if you know the fish and tricks of the trade, it is not just a matter of luck. Statistics in sports fishing say there really is a 10x angler. Competition fishing has been a thing for a long time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Freshwater_Angling_Championships https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Freshwater_Angling_Champ...
deleted 9y ago
[deleted]
hoodoof 9y ago
It's easy, and possibly even fun to talk about your antiportfolio and how you didn't succeed, when you are already worth hundreds of millions, as they are at this company.
- blizkreeg 9y ago
  That's irrelevant. Every missed opportunity stings the same. It's relative.
  - hoodoof 9y ago
    Piffle. There's no such thing as an antiportfolio or "missed opportunities". You may as well say "why didn't I pick the correct lotto numbers". The answer is "because you didn't". Why didn't I make every decision in my life the right decision? Answer: "because you didn't". I could have made a billion dollars if I had know all the right stocks to pick. The VC antiportfolio is the same thing. Proximity to an opportunity seems to make people feel a greater sense of that they "lost" the opportunity, but in fact that lost opportunity is precisely the same as the whole world full of other opportunities that the person could have taken at that moment.
    - deleted 9y ago
      [deleted]
    - majewsky 9y ago
      > You may as well say "why didn't I pick the correct lotto numbers". The answer is "because you didn't". Lotto numbers all look the same up front. Startups all look different, so a good VC can be better than a bad VC if they just know which differences to look for.
      - ai_ia 9y ago
        And thats their job to predict which startup will make the most money or produce most value. In capable of doing shows their weakness, so anti-portfolio is quite relevant IMHO.
taneq 9y ago
Note that if YC rejects your pitch, it doesn't mean your company is bad, or the pitch is bad - it just means they don't think you're a good investment for them.
- yesimahuman 9y ago
  It probably doesn't even mean that. They've said before that the companies they are unsure about and pass on are the hardest to reason about which is probably true for a lot of aspects of business. They just couldn't get across the finish line, there's not much "there" there. Anyone that got rejected that believes in their business should keep at it. We got rejected several times from YC in the early days, and it really meant nothing for the business in the grand scheme of things (so glad we didn't give up!)
  - bbourn 9y ago
    I'm sure I'm not alone in hoping that you (and other successful YC rejections) will post a bit about your company to keep the rest of our spirits up through this dip in our entrepreneurial roller coaster....
    - yesimahuman 9y ago
      Sure :) We're a dev tools/services company. We applied back in 2011 and 2012, got one straight rejection and one interview rejection (not my first either, I got an interview rejection with my first startup ever two years before that!). We got really close but it wasn't in the cards. Ended up bootstrapping after that, and went to TechStars instead based on a recommendation from a friend (I really felt a need to do one of these programs, insecurity in hindsight). Came back from that and kind of fell into what became Ionic (http://ionicframework.com/ http://ionicframework.com/) which was a side project for us, found some good traction with it and it consumed us and we ended up doing some VC rounds over the last few years (and continuing to grow nicely, millions of devs, etc.). There's a long ways to go still but if you believe in the team you have, then you should do whatever you can to make it work. That combination of the right people at the right time is one of the most precious things and something that only you can assess. Not everyone will see the potential, but you realize quickly that they aren't the gate keepers: customers are.
thisisit 9y ago
I have always wondered, is VC funding only about money or making industry connections too?
- hkmurakami 9y ago
  Some of the upside include money, help raising your next round (intros to other later stage VCs), providing you with additional money (insider bridge round), hiring leads (VP level), operational input (finances), product input (from partners who've run companies before), giving you legitimacy (companies are worried if you'll be around in 2 years), and yes, sales lead intros (rolodex networker style VCs).
Gustomaximus 9y ago
Out if interest I googled YC rejected companies that succeeded. Here's a thread from a year back; https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11229700 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11229700
Stratoscope 9y ago
I almost didn't read this because the submitted title spelled "meh" to me. But I'm glad I looked. This is hilarious! (And it has nothing to do with YC or YC applicants. The actual title is much better: "Honoring Those We Missed: The Anti-Portfolio") It also makes me feel not quite so bad about some of my own personal mistakes...
- Stratoscope 9y ago
  It's good that the title was changed to the actual article title, but of course my comment makes little sense now. For the curious, the original submitted title was: For All Rejected w2018 YC applicants, a sprig of hope I hope I can learn to poke fun at myself the way the Bessemer folks do! They are in the same league as George W. Bush. If you want to learn the fine art of self-deprecating humor, read the Bessemer article and then watch this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4N93jLVPIA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4N93jLVPIA
- tudorw 9y ago
  refreshing isn't it, nothing shouts integrity louder than sharing failure.
  - hoodoof 9y ago
    Really? I see no connection between the two. explain more? Perhaps honesty. Not integrity. More likely good marketing skills. "Nothing shouts "good marketing skills!" more than sharing failure. They're VC's... so a much higher standard of proof is required to establish integrity. (cough cough Eduardo Saverin) Gotta remember, all angels and VCs are desperate to increase their "deal flow", that means they need startups to know their name when they go looking for money. So the VC puts on a sort of phoney humility... a kind of "hey we're worth billions but same as you its been hard!" type thing. "Look at how we made mistakes where instead of making tens of billions we only made billions". That way when you are looking for money you might think "Hey those Bessemer guys seemed pretty down to earth, like me!" It's more like a good PR agency wrote it than 'refreshing'. No one there actually writes... they're al playing golf. It was Sally at the PR agency who wrote the thing that evoked a sense of integrity from you. She needs a pay rise.
rinaworks 9y ago
Why haven't I receive my rejection email?
- skashyap 9y ago
  Same here.
  - mamoriamohit 9y ago
    Same here.
hoodoof 9y ago
Anyone rejected willing to tell us what your idea was?
- nasirmaziz 9y ago
  Yes, mine was not any software related product. It was energy-related technology that extends the range of existing and future Electric Vehicles. The show must go on as planned...
- fbonawiede 9y ago
  tool for dynamic/agile feature specs...
- shafyy 9y ago
  Chatbot that answers science questions.
fillskills 9y ago
This is hilariously wonderful! At least they have a sense of humor about it. And gives me a lot of hope for my venture and future ones. No one knows a company as well as founders do. Thats why if you still believe in your idea and execution, work on it day and night. Dont be turned off by a few VC rejections. Take their comments in stride and learn from it. Also, remember that most VCs just like most people have personal biases. Maybe you dont fit in the right box yet.
jedberg 9y ago
Remember folks, the acceptance rate for YC is lower than Harvard. If you didn't skip college because Harvard rejected you, then don't stop doing your startup because YC rejected you. :)
- austenallred 9y ago
  We were rejected four times before getting in. I've talked to others that were rejected six times before getting in. Most people that get into YC have been rejected before. Don't sweat it.
  - agibsonccc 9y ago
    I was rejected 4 times over the years before getting in. We ended up being among the top in our batch after just being around for 2.5 years (this is my 4th company)
    - robinraszka 9y ago
      I was rejected multiple times as well. This time it was different.
- shafyy 9y ago
  Yes but it's misleading to look at the ~130/~7,000 acceptance rate. The barrier to send out a YC application is much much much lower than sending out a top-tier college application. Michael Seibel said that 30-40% of applicants don't even have a real company, just an idea.
skashyap 9y ago
Has everyone gotten their rejection emails ?
jaypatel16 9y ago
Anyone who got rejection mail for w2018 batch?
- vijaibhatti 9y ago
  No ,anyone get an invite ?
coffeemakescode 9y ago
A friend in my previous job was accepted after his fourth attempt. Don't give up. And if YC never accepts you, then prove them wrong.
deleted 9y ago
[deleted]
mamoriamohit 9y ago
Are the invites sent out already? Haven't received any email -- neither invite not rejection. :/
- maryfoxmarlow 9y ago
  We haven't either. Good luck!
  - mvskiran 9y ago
    yes waiting for some information.
    - vijaibhatti 9y ago
      Anyone hear of companies getting invites yet ?
mathattack 9y ago
Bessemer has a good sense of humor. They are also involved in Bubbleproof. https://techcrunch.com/2017/10/17/watch-the-first-four-episodes-of-the-silicon-valley-mockumentary-bubbleproof/ https://techcrunch.com/2017/10/17/watch-the-first-four-episo...
- avip 9y ago
  Failure is not an option. It's a feature That one really made my day. Thanks for the link.
deleted 9y ago
[deleted]
deleted 9y ago
[deleted]
nasirmaziz 9y ago
A proud recipient of the rejection email here! Is there a YC Alumni Association of Rejects? Let's make one if not LOL!
- sujits 9y ago
  Same here, Got a rejection mail.
- fbonawiede 9y ago
  I'll join the club!
deleted 9y ago
[deleted]
ringaroundthetx 9y ago
I'm seeing a pattern of a lack of humility that bites him over and over again.
peterburkimsher 9y ago
"As for Compaq, I told him there was no real future in transportable computers since IBM could do it." - This is the point I made in a comment yesterday. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15537940 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15537940 hprotagonist was fretting about the "freight train is barreling down on them in the form of Apple and Google" I said there, and I'll say again here: Waiting for large companies to innovate is like saying "I won't build the Apple II because I'd rather wait for the IBM PC to be invented". I think that big companies are under too much market pressure to really innovate freely. Startups are a good thing, and Y Combinator is helping. If you have an idea, please don't just give up and wait for the market leaders - make a startup and make it real.
- thisisit 9y ago
  Same goes for "Finally, cornered in a lunch line, Jeremy delivered some sage advice "Kid, haven't you heard of Friendster? Move on. It's over!""
pfarnsworth 9y ago
What this actually means is that VCs have no idea if a company will be successful or not and it's basically luck. The ones that survive are the ones who manage to hit one of their gambles with outsized wins, similar to a roulette table. Why some continue to believe VCs actually know anything or add value is beyond me. Even YC admits as much, saying their best guess is the caliber of the founder, and that there should be at least 2 co-founders. Everything else is a guess.
- JumpCrisscross 9y ago
  > VCs have no idea if a company will be successful or not and it's basically luck This anti-portfolio is a sample of Bessemer's Type II errors [1]. It does not follow that they are useless. (Their returns are far from useless.) [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors
  - pfarnsworth 9y ago
    Wrong. If you have enough money, and your gains are sufficiently outsized from a win, then any spread bet across dozens of companies will end up making money. Being a VC in Silicon Valley over the last 20 years is a game you can't lose, as long as you have enough money. And let's not forget, they're not even playing with their own money, they are playing with their investors money. But it doesn't mean you're a smart VC it just means that you're a rich VC. They have enough high profile misses to show they have no idea what is going to be successful. They passed on Google, Apple and Facebook with a combined market value of almost $1.5 trillion dollars.
    - JumpCrisscross 9y ago
      > Being a VC in Silicon Valley over the last 20 years is a game you can't lose, as long as you have enough money You won’t find a source for this because it isn’t true. Lots of VCs have busted because despite diversification, the odds of a single company in a portfolio of 20 to 100 making it big are very small.
vijaibhatti 9y ago
Has anyone received rejections/invites yet ? I have received neither and it's almost 11pm
- fbonawiede 9y ago
  received it 20 minutes ago
  - vijaibhatti 9y ago
    Invite or rejection?
    - fbonawiede 9y ago
      rejection
oaixs 9y ago
So I think for those of us who received the rejection emails right after 10pm were pretty much in the "for sure" stack and for those who haven't received it yet there's still hope.
- vijaibhatti 9y ago
  Have you heard of anyone getting an invite yet ?
  - oaixs 9y ago
    No I have not. I suppose they're too busy celebrating.
allenleein 9y ago
As a startup founder, I really enjoy reading this one.
segmondy 9y ago
I just got my rejection letter. I suppose I didn't do a good enough job explaining my ideas. Any other rejects interested in a mastermind group? We could network with Slack/Hangout, encourage each other, and arrange our own "Rejects demo day" at end of March. If interested reach out to me.
- Roybot 9y ago
  First time applying for me and first time rejected.
- cheez 9y ago
  Rejects day is a good idea
hyperpallium 9y ago
What was the wig company?
deleted 9y ago
[deleted]
Bonge 9y ago
Jeremy Levine seems to have been the one who missed the most. Even the best have their failures!
orkanyilmaz 9y ago
How many of us got a video call and rejected?
ashtube 9y ago
"Cowan’s college friend rented her garage to Sergey and Larry" You mean Susan? The CEO of YouTube? :)
kriro 9y ago
While it's cool they wrote this and fun to read it's also a good piece for them in the sense that they advertise that they were/are involved in all the "hot deals".
fazkan 9y ago
having you heard of friendster, its over move on...This made me laugh so hard.. This goes to show that there is no clear formula/predictor...
Nelkins 9y ago
I liked this. My main takeaway though is that these people are ridiculously well-connected. It's difficult for me to imagine having that kind of access to so many top-tier companies (even if they weren't recognized as such at the time). And I'm guessing these companies actively sought them out! It really just seems like a different world.
aezell 9y ago
The ultimate humblebrag.
Mz 9y ago
Subtitled: Bessemer Venture Partners is perhaps the nation's oldest venture capital firm, tracing our roots back to the Carnegie Steel empire. This long and storied history has afforded our firm an unparalleled number of opportunities to completely screw up. It is extremely funny.

306 points by bbourn 9y ago

dang: Can the title be changed? I'm not a startup founder so I don't usually read YC-specific stuff, but this article has nothing to do with YC, its actual title doesn't mention YC, and it is funny and of general interest.

ronilan 9y ago

I was rejected years ago and indeed nothing good ever came out of me. There is no hope. ;)

bbourn 9y ago
Do Or Do Not. There is No Hope. ;p
ak39 9y ago
Some guy I used to go fishing with once told me that startups are like fishing. He said, you know, the traditional line & hook type of fishing. Not the trawler, dredging type of fishing. It's a game of luck mostly. No one really knows where the fish are at any given time. But make sure to only ever fish in a pond in which others have been catching fish. Put your line in and wait. And while you wait make sure you don't starve to death. Also, while you wait, make sure to check up on your mom. Get into shape. Enjoy the scenery. I have since stopped going fishing with that fucker.
- IndrekR 9y ago
  If you go fishing, you should cut the hook off the line before you cast. Otherwise getting the fish may ruin the fishing. Unfortunately some people think along the same line about running a company, not necessarily a startup one. Oh, and if you know the fish and tricks of the trade, it is not just a matter of luck. Statistics in sports fishing say there really is a 10x angler. Competition fishing has been a thing for a long time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Freshwater_Angling_Championships https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Freshwater_Angling_Champ...

deleted 9y ago

[deleted]

hoodoof 9y ago

It's easy, and possibly even fun to talk about your antiportfolio and how you didn't succeed, when you are already worth hundreds of millions, as they are at this company.

blizkreeg 9y ago
That's irrelevant. Every missed opportunity stings the same. It's relative.
- hoodoof 9y ago
  Piffle. There's no such thing as an antiportfolio or "missed opportunities". You may as well say "why didn't I pick the correct lotto numbers". The answer is "because you didn't". Why didn't I make every decision in my life the right decision? Answer: "because you didn't". I could have made a billion dollars if I had know all the right stocks to pick. The VC antiportfolio is the same thing. Proximity to an opportunity seems to make people feel a greater sense of that they "lost" the opportunity, but in fact that lost opportunity is precisely the same as the whole world full of other opportunities that the person could have taken at that moment.
  - deleted 9y ago
    [deleted]
  - majewsky 9y ago
    > You may as well say "why didn't I pick the correct lotto numbers". The answer is "because you didn't". Lotto numbers all look the same up front. Startups all look different, so a good VC can be better than a bad VC if they just know which differences to look for.
    - ai_ia 9y ago
      And thats their job to predict which startup will make the most money or produce most value. In capable of doing shows their weakness, so anti-portfolio is quite relevant IMHO.

taneq 9y ago

Note that if YC rejects your pitch, it doesn't mean your company is bad, or the pitch is bad - it just means they don't think you're a good investment for them.

yesimahuman 9y ago
It probably doesn't even mean that. They've said before that the companies they are unsure about and pass on are the hardest to reason about which is probably true for a lot of aspects of business. They just couldn't get across the finish line, there's not much "there" there. Anyone that got rejected that believes in their business should keep at it. We got rejected several times from YC in the early days, and it really meant nothing for the business in the grand scheme of things (so glad we didn't give up!)
- bbourn 9y ago
  I'm sure I'm not alone in hoping that you (and other successful YC rejections) will post a bit about your company to keep the rest of our spirits up through this dip in our entrepreneurial roller coaster....
  - yesimahuman 9y ago
    Sure :) We're a dev tools/services company. We applied back in 2011 and 2012, got one straight rejection and one interview rejection (not my first either, I got an interview rejection with my first startup ever two years before that!). We got really close but it wasn't in the cards. Ended up bootstrapping after that, and went to TechStars instead based on a recommendation from a friend (I really felt a need to do one of these programs, insecurity in hindsight). Came back from that and kind of fell into what became Ionic (http://ionicframework.com/ http://ionicframework.com/) which was a side project for us, found some good traction with it and it consumed us and we ended up doing some VC rounds over the last few years (and continuing to grow nicely, millions of devs, etc.). There's a long ways to go still but if you believe in the team you have, then you should do whatever you can to make it work. That combination of the right people at the right time is one of the most precious things and something that only you can assess. Not everyone will see the potential, but you realize quickly that they aren't the gate keepers: customers are.

thisisit 9y ago

I have always wondered, is VC funding only about money or making industry connections too?

hkmurakami 9y ago
Some of the upside include money, help raising your next round (intros to other later stage VCs), providing you with additional money (insider bridge round), hiring leads (VP level), operational input (finances), product input (from partners who've run companies before), giving you legitimacy (companies are worried if you'll be around in 2 years), and yes, sales lead intros (rolodex networker style VCs).

Gustomaximus 9y ago

Out if interest I googled YC rejected companies that succeeded. Here's a thread from a year back; https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11229700 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11229700

Stratoscope 9y ago

I almost didn't read this because the submitted title spelled "meh" to me. But I'm glad I looked. This is hilarious! (And it has nothing to do with YC or YC applicants. The actual title is much better: "Honoring Those We Missed: The Anti-Portfolio") It also makes me feel not quite so bad about some of my own personal mistakes...

Stratoscope 9y ago
It's good that the title was changed to the actual article title, but of course my comment makes little sense now. For the curious, the original submitted title was: For All Rejected w2018 YC applicants, a sprig of hope I hope I can learn to poke fun at myself the way the Bessemer folks do! They are in the same league as George W. Bush. If you want to learn the fine art of self-deprecating humor, read the Bessemer article and then watch this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4N93jLVPIA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4N93jLVPIA
tudorw 9y ago
refreshing isn't it, nothing shouts integrity louder than sharing failure.
- hoodoof 9y ago
  Really? I see no connection between the two. explain more? Perhaps honesty. Not integrity. More likely good marketing skills. "Nothing shouts "good marketing skills!" more than sharing failure. They're VC's... so a much higher standard of proof is required to establish integrity. (cough cough Eduardo Saverin) Gotta remember, all angels and VCs are desperate to increase their "deal flow", that means they need startups to know their name when they go looking for money. So the VC puts on a sort of phoney humility... a kind of "hey we're worth billions but same as you its been hard!" type thing. "Look at how we made mistakes where instead of making tens of billions we only made billions". That way when you are looking for money you might think "Hey those Bessemer guys seemed pretty down to earth, like me!" It's more like a good PR agency wrote it than 'refreshing'. No one there actually writes... they're al playing golf. It was Sally at the PR agency who wrote the thing that evoked a sense of integrity from you. She needs a pay rise.

rinaworks 9y ago

Why haven't I receive my rejection email?

skashyap 9y ago
Same here.
- mamoriamohit 9y ago
  Same here.

hoodoof 9y ago

Anyone rejected willing to tell us what your idea was?

nasirmaziz 9y ago
Yes, mine was not any software related product. It was energy-related technology that extends the range of existing and future Electric Vehicles. The show must go on as planned...
fbonawiede 9y ago
tool for dynamic/agile feature specs...
shafyy 9y ago
Chatbot that answers science questions.

fillskills 9y ago

This is hilariously wonderful! At least they have a sense of humor about it. And gives me a lot of hope for my venture and future ones. No one knows a company as well as founders do. Thats why if you still believe in your idea and execution, work on it day and night. Dont be turned off by a few VC rejections. Take their comments in stride and learn from it. Also, remember that most VCs just like most people have personal biases. Maybe you dont fit in the right box yet.

jedberg 9y ago

Remember folks, the acceptance rate for YC is lower than Harvard. If you didn't skip college because Harvard rejected you, then don't stop doing your startup because YC rejected you. :)

austenallred 9y ago
We were rejected four times before getting in. I've talked to others that were rejected six times before getting in. Most people that get into YC have been rejected before. Don't sweat it.
- agibsonccc 9y ago
  I was rejected 4 times over the years before getting in. We ended up being among the top in our batch after just being around for 2.5 years (this is my 4th company)
  - robinraszka 9y ago
    I was rejected multiple times as well. This time it was different.
shafyy 9y ago
Yes but it's misleading to look at the ~130/~7,000 acceptance rate. The barrier to send out a YC application is much much much lower than sending out a top-tier college application. Michael Seibel said that 30-40% of applicants don't even have a real company, just an idea.

skashyap 9y ago

Has everyone gotten their rejection emails ?

jaypatel16 9y ago

Anyone who got rejection mail for w2018 batch?

vijaibhatti 9y ago
No ,anyone get an invite ?

coffeemakescode 9y ago

A friend in my previous job was accepted after his fourth attempt. Don't give up. And if YC never accepts you, then prove them wrong.

deleted 9y ago

[deleted]

mamoriamohit 9y ago

Are the invites sent out already? Haven't received any email -- neither invite not rejection. :/

maryfoxmarlow 9y ago
We haven't either. Good luck!
- mvskiran 9y ago
  yes waiting for some information.
  - vijaibhatti 9y ago
    Anyone hear of companies getting invites yet ?

mathattack 9y ago

Bessemer has a good sense of humor. They are also involved in Bubbleproof. https://techcrunch.com/2017/10/17/watch-the-first-four-episodes-of-the-silicon-valley-mockumentary-bubbleproof/ https://techcrunch.com/2017/10/17/watch-the-first-four-episo...

avip 9y ago
Failure is not an option. It's a feature That one really made my day. Thanks for the link.

deleted 9y ago

[deleted]

deleted 9y ago

[deleted]

nasirmaziz 9y ago

A proud recipient of the rejection email here! Is there a YC Alumni Association of Rejects? Let's make one if not LOL!

sujits 9y ago
Same here, Got a rejection mail.
fbonawiede 9y ago
I'll join the club!

deleted 9y ago

[deleted]

ringaroundthetx 9y ago

I'm seeing a pattern of a lack of humility that bites him over and over again.

peterburkimsher 9y ago

"As for Compaq, I told him there was no real future in transportable computers since IBM could do it." - This is the point I made in a comment yesterday. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15537940 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15537940 hprotagonist was fretting about the "freight train is barreling down on them in the form of Apple and Google" I said there, and I'll say again here: Waiting for large companies to innovate is like saying "I won't build the Apple II because I'd rather wait for the IBM PC to be invented". I think that big companies are under too much market pressure to really innovate freely. Startups are a good thing, and Y Combinator is helping. If you have an idea, please don't just give up and wait for the market leaders - make a startup and make it real.

thisisit 9y ago
Same goes for "Finally, cornered in a lunch line, Jeremy delivered some sage advice "Kid, haven't you heard of Friendster? Move on. It's over!""

pfarnsworth 9y ago

What this actually means is that VCs have no idea if a company will be successful or not and it's basically luck. The ones that survive are the ones who manage to hit one of their gambles with outsized wins, similar to a roulette table. Why some continue to believe VCs actually know anything or add value is beyond me. Even YC admits as much, saying their best guess is the caliber of the founder, and that there should be at least 2 co-founders. Everything else is a guess.

JumpCrisscross 9y ago
> VCs have no idea if a company will be successful or not and it's basically luck This anti-portfolio is a sample of Bessemer's Type II errors [1]. It does not follow that they are useless. (Their returns are far from useless.) [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors
- pfarnsworth 9y ago
  Wrong. If you have enough money, and your gains are sufficiently outsized from a win, then any spread bet across dozens of companies will end up making money. Being a VC in Silicon Valley over the last 20 years is a game you can't lose, as long as you have enough money. And let's not forget, they're not even playing with their own money, they are playing with their investors money. But it doesn't mean you're a smart VC it just means that you're a rich VC. They have enough high profile misses to show they have no idea what is going to be successful. They passed on Google, Apple and Facebook with a combined market value of almost $1.5 trillion dollars.
  - JumpCrisscross 9y ago
    > Being a VC in Silicon Valley over the last 20 years is a game you can't lose, as long as you have enough money You won’t find a source for this because it isn’t true. Lots of VCs have busted because despite diversification, the odds of a single company in a portfolio of 20 to 100 making it big are very small.

vijaibhatti 9y ago

Has anyone received rejections/invites yet ? I have received neither and it's almost 11pm

fbonawiede 9y ago
received it 20 minutes ago
- vijaibhatti 9y ago
  Invite or rejection?
  - fbonawiede 9y ago
    rejection

oaixs 9y ago

So I think for those of us who received the rejection emails right after 10pm were pretty much in the "for sure" stack and for those who haven't received it yet there's still hope.

vijaibhatti 9y ago
Have you heard of anyone getting an invite yet ?
- oaixs 9y ago
  No I have not. I suppose they're too busy celebrating.

allenleein 9y ago

As a startup founder, I really enjoy reading this one.

segmondy 9y ago

I just got my rejection letter. I suppose I didn't do a good enough job explaining my ideas. Any other rejects interested in a mastermind group? We could network with Slack/Hangout, encourage each other, and arrange our own "Rejects demo day" at end of March. If interested reach out to me.

Roybot 9y ago
First time applying for me and first time rejected.
cheez 9y ago
Rejects day is a good idea

hyperpallium 9y ago

What was the wig company?

deleted 9y ago

[deleted]

Bonge 9y ago

Jeremy Levine seems to have been the one who missed the most. Even the best have their failures!

orkanyilmaz 9y ago

How many of us got a video call and rejected?

ashtube 9y ago

"Cowan’s college friend rented her garage to Sergey and Larry" You mean Susan? The CEO of YouTube? :)

kriro 9y ago

While it's cool they wrote this and fun to read it's also a good piece for them in the sense that they advertise that they were/are involved in all the "hot deals".

fazkan 9y ago

having you heard of friendster, its over move on...This made me laugh so hard.. This goes to show that there is no clear formula/predictor...

Nelkins 9y ago

I liked this. My main takeaway though is that these people are ridiculously well-connected. It's difficult for me to imagine having that kind of access to so many top-tier companies (even if they weren't recognized as such at the time). And I'm guessing these companies actively sought them out! It really just seems like a different world.

aezell 9y ago

The ultimate humblebrag.

Mz 9y ago

Subtitled: Bessemer Venture Partners is perhaps the nation's oldest venture capital firm, tracing our roots back to the Carnegie Steel empire. This long and storied history has afforded our firm an unparalleled number of opportunities to completely screw up. It is extremely funny.