It depends. They have quotas for different countries. Think of how many people are applying from your country. Then think of how many people are applying from M

It depends. They have quotas for different countries. Think of how many people are applying from your country. Then think of how many people are applying from Mexico, China, India, Guatemala. That is just the means so you have a much higher probability than if you are from a West European country than you do from a developing country.