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I'm not so sure about this—the "unpaid debt equals destroyed wealth" part. It's important to be concrete about what we're talking about here. A society's wealth
by isamuel 16y ago
I'm not so sure about this—the "unpaid debt equals destroyed wealth" part. It's important to be concrete about what we're talking about here. A society's wealth can't be sensibly measured in money, because currency is just a neutral medium of exchange having no intrinsic value. Central banks control its supply in an instrumental way. This is monetary policy 101. I trust we agree.
So what happens if you lend me $1 million and I don't pay you back because my business goes belly-up in a month? Well. No actual wealth is destroyed if you don't get paid back. Whatever you created (a business, a book, whatever) to get so rich still exists, and society still enjoys its benefits. You say that well, it could have been invested elsewhere; there's an opportunity cost. But assuming relatively fluid capital markets, someone else likely invested in whatever you didn't invest in, and so whatever great thing was created by that other business still exists.
Now, sometimes you have situations where no one trusts anyone to pay back their debts, and you have frozen credit markets. We saw this during the financial panic of 08-09. But the problem there is that real stuff---factories, people, stores---sit idle because capital markets are necessary for this stuff to function. The problem isn't that "lending isn't happening," the problem is that a society has a massive amount of idle stuff that could be otherwise productive, sitting around wasting away for no good reason.
I'm not sure I even disagree with you, I've just been trying to think through these issues in a non-abstract way.
- dkarl 16y agoSo what happens if you lend me $1 million and I don't pay you back because my business goes belly-up in a month? Well. No actual wealth is destroyed if you don't get paid back. Wealth is destroyed when you use the invested money to divert valuable resources into a non-productive enterprise. Energy is used to cool and light your office and run your computers. The useful lifetime of many computers is invested in the business. A running business consumes many, many resources, down to and including wear and tear on the carpet in your office. Not to mention that a lot of people's time and energy comes to naught... or at least to less than you paid for them, hence less than they should have come to.