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I'm unsure how you would expect humans to do better with cultural concerns or strategy in the face of uncertainty. We're known for routinely making mistakes in
by hasbroslasher 9y ago
I'm unsure how you would expect humans to do better with cultural concerns or strategy in the face of uncertainty. We're known for routinely making mistakes in both of these domains - just look at POTUS for a case study.
Computers can already infer sentiment, not to mention recognize patterns extremely well, and are likely trainable to provide example feedback to any given cultural current. Is culture really any more diffuse than something like conversation, which computers already do reasonably well?
Furthermore, it seems odd to suggest that computers would have trouble in numbers games like war/trade war/resource allocation. These are essentially reducible to games, and with Go out the way, it doesn't seem that figuring out the best tariffs to pass or best places to bomb would require much more logic.
Maybe I'm being naive, but I think your conceptions of the limitations of machines are founded on essentially nothing. There's little, philosophically or scientifically, in the way of physicalist/functionalist conceptions of the mind that supports your viewpoints!
There's little reason to doubt, in my eyes, that our brains are extremely complex machines, running on electrical impulses and neurotransmitters, to produce responses to stimuli. As such, I don't see why you would privilege our machines over another machine. Why is our learning experience different from that of a machine? Do we not learn from trial-and-error, from explicit (social) rule-programming, from inference? Is evolution really at odds with computers? Some ML algorithms already boast "evolutionary" traits. And are our 5 senses really so sharp? What about beings who "see" all EM radiation or feel rumblings deep in the earth, like a seismograph does?
- arichard123 9y agoOur differences may well just come down to a difference of beliefs. In reference to the first 3 paragraphs of your response, I believe there are a few orders of magnitude (at least) difference between "computers can already infer sentiment" to, for example, "a computer that manages a construction firm that uses Mexican commodities realises that Trump has come to power and THAT wall, that is promised, isn't going to happen. Mexico won't be happy, and there might be a trade war. Perhaps start supporting Anti-Trump causes. Certainly don't waste time bidding to build the thing." In reference to the flesh vs machinery question. I think I don't believe it because I don't think we have a good way of designing a good AI. An AI needs to be like a slave that is motivated to serve some goal other than itself. A human brain would not be a good model for such an AI, as our brains are trained to serve ourselves. (Or our selfish genes?) So we cannot copy human brain design and development processes to make an AI that we can trust. We need to design a new brain, based on perhaps similar, but different processes. Evolution with different selectors? Deterministic design? I don't think we could do it.