Lollerskates. Your #2 is predicated on Strong AI. At the current time there's no real evidence that that's forthcoming any time soon. (Hype notwithstanding.)

Lollerskates. Your #2 is predicated on Strong AI. At the current time there's no real evidence that that's forthcoming any time soon. (Hype notwithstanding.) Currently, the most difficult problem with programming is understanding the problem. Absent Strong AI there's no shortcuts here. ... and while we're at it: IF the problem were to be solved -- even if by magic -- then I'd be the happiest person alive. The flaw in your thinking is that everything else would stay the same. It wouldn't. A culture with access to "solve-my-problem-X" on demand would be vastly different and it's not even clear if e.g. "money" or "job" would make any sense in such a world. (Ditto for any number of other concepts we take for granted, but which are ultimately driven by scarcity of resources or the fight against entropy.)