3 ms·

"Bitcoin is already as good as it will ever need to be to function as a practical store of value." Bitcoin is the worst possible 'store of value'in any financi

"Bitcoin is already as good as it will ever need to be to function as a practical store of value." Bitcoin is the worst possible 'store of value'in any financial scenario. It's highly volatile, subject to unknown future regulations, competition from other things - and of course, it could go to zero tomorrow. Moreover - there are any number of other, better opportunities for 'store of value' - most notably real-estate. There has been demand for real-estate in London for at least 1000 years. So think, in 100 years, will there be at least some demand for real-estate in London. Probably. Probably more than today - but at least some. What will the demand be for BTC in 100 years? Will it even exist? Will anyone even remember what it is? The volatility alone makes it really not something you want to 'store a lot of value for the future'. Just because there is pragmatically a 'fixed number of BTC's that will ever be created, and that it has some crypto-viability - does not inherently make it a 'good store of value' - or a 'store of value at all'.

Agebor 9y ago
It's probably most useful to compare Bitcoin to gold (apparently the Biggest Bubble in Stock Market History: http://gainspainscapital.com/2017/08/08/officially-biggest-bubble-stock-market-history/ http://gainspainscapital.com/2017/08/08/officially-biggest-b...). Let's take a random sample of reasons why gold is a store of value: https://www.quora.com/How-did-gold-become-the-historical-standard-store-of-value https://www.quora.com/How-did-gold-become-the-historical-sta... Pretty much every of those attributes can be created in most cryptocurrecies (or made obsolete), with arguably these exceptions: - Universal (as of now) - Bitcoin is indeed universally recognisable and tradable, compared to other cryptos. - Stable - very unknown, but so far the long age of Bitcoin made it a bit more stable than most other well-known alternatives. Though that could be challenged if an inherently stable cryptocurrency mechanism is invented. Perhaps universality will be always there and will be enough. But overall that makes me bend in the direction that inherently there is nothing special about Bitcoin in the long term, while other cryptocurrencies are researching and reinventing very foundations of value, trust and finance in general. Imagine if there will be no reason for any currency to be a store of value in the future. Why choose that, versus some kind of automatically diversified crypto-index or other portfolio, that is for example bound assets related your interests and beliefs as a person. Just take a micro-sized chunk of it each time you make a payment.
- infinite8s 9y ago
  Here's a big difference - Bitcoin requires the existence of a computer network and all that entails about global stability (computers, electricity, infrastructure). Gold (or any physical medium of exhange) doesn't.
  - factsaresacred 9y ago
    Those people that hold gold as a hedge don't hold gold. They hold a database entry on a computer somewhere that assigns them ownership of some gold (supposedly) in a vault somewhere. This requires global stability, and a great deal of blind trust in multiple third-parties.

Agebor 9y ago

It's probably most useful to compare Bitcoin to gold (apparently the Biggest Bubble in Stock Market History: http://gainspainscapital.com/2017/08/08/officially-biggest-bubble-stock-market-history/ http://gainspainscapital.com/2017/08/08/officially-biggest-b...). Let's take a random sample of reasons why gold is a store of value: https://www.quora.com/How-did-gold-become-the-historical-standard-store-of-value https://www.quora.com/How-did-gold-become-the-historical-sta... Pretty much every of those attributes can be created in most cryptocurrecies (or made obsolete), with arguably these exceptions: - Universal (as of now) - Bitcoin is indeed universally recognisable and tradable, compared to other cryptos. - Stable - very unknown, but so far the long age of Bitcoin made it a bit more stable than most other well-known alternatives. Though that could be challenged if an inherently stable cryptocurrency mechanism is invented. Perhaps universality will be always there and will be enough. But overall that makes me bend in the direction that inherently there is nothing special about Bitcoin in the long term, while other cryptocurrencies are researching and reinventing very foundations of value, trust and finance in general. Imagine if there will be no reason for any currency to be a store of value in the future. Why choose that, versus some kind of automatically diversified crypto-index or other portfolio, that is for example bound assets related your interests and beliefs as a person. Just take a micro-sized chunk of it each time you make a payment.

infinite8s 9y ago
Here's a big difference - Bitcoin requires the existence of a computer network and all that entails about global stability (computers, electricity, infrastructure). Gold (or any physical medium of exhange) doesn't.
- factsaresacred 9y ago
  Those people that hold gold as a hedge don't hold gold. They hold a database entry on a computer somewhere that assigns them ownership of some gold (supposedly) in a vault somewhere. This requires global stability, and a great deal of blind trust in multiple third-parties.