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Saving you a click: with 95% confidence, humans are predicted to go extinct between 5,100 and 7.8 million years from now. The prediction seems neither very rob
by maxniederhofer 9y ago
Saving you a click: with 95% confidence, humans are predicted to go extinct between 5,100 and 7.8 million years from now.
The prediction seems neither very robust (normal distribution?), nor very useful.
- dualogy 9y agoWow. That's truly pinpointing it! "Between 5k and 8m years from now." If you're willing to accept "between 100 and 10b years from now", it's not-quantitatively-but-qualitatively equivalent to any living human but even better odds, I'd put them at 99.9%.
- Spooky23 9y agoIf only had scrolled down, I’d have two minutes of my life back! I’m honestly surprised that this was published. This article is content free.
- chiefalchemist 9y agoIf he's right, we won't be around to know. If he's wrong, and we're still around, we're not going to care. Might be the ultimate "prediction" ever.