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You should read The Three Body Problem series. In the second book, The Dark Forest, it has an extremely plausible answer to the Fermi Paradox: Basically every i
by gwicks56 9y ago
You should read The Three Body Problem series. In the second book, The Dark Forest, it has an extremely plausible answer to the Fermi Paradox: Basically every intelligent civilization is hiding, because Game Theory states if you find aliens, you have to kill them. ( No way of knowing if they are friendly or not, when survival of species is at stake, the smartest move is to kill them immediately just to be safe)
- posterboy 9y agoThat's the prisoner's dilemma, but the maximum value there is in cooperation, if riskier. To defect still means to rely on the associate to cooperate, which is ratner disenginious and assymetric. Ghere's power in symmetry, but as others pointed out, the existence of a symmetric, ie. comparibly advanced planetary system is unlikely.
- posterboy 9y agohaving read up on it again I noticed I was a little amis with the values. Still, the total prison time is least for cooperation. I can only wonder what game theory would have to say about setting the punishments as in the original. Certainly the whole thing is rigged to begin with. Both serve time if none of them admits to the crime? You'd have to be uncooperative with law enforcement out of principle, never mind nature is probably not generally as sinister and draconicly enforcing morally biased laws. The void of deep space rather doesn't care to set traps like that on purpose. But it could randomly. If weights are set arbitrarilly in the thought experiment, what would probabilty theory say then? Nothing, as there are no priors. But what would attacking and extinguishing an unexpecting existence about our own chances to be terminated at once without aprehension?