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So 260 instead of 1500 model 3's. Bootstrapping has a lot of uncertainties so that's not very unlikely even. What's stood out to me was this, > In total, we ex
by retSava 9y ago
So 260 instead of 1500 model 3's. Bootstrapping has a lot of uncertainties so that's not very unlikely even. What's stood out to me was this,
> In total, we expect to deliver about 100,000 Model S and X vehicles in 2017, which would be a 31% increase over 2016.
31% increase from 2016, that's a huge bump in delivery and I wonder how/if this affected the model 3 production.
- dx034 9y agoAs a car company with some years of experience you should be able to factor in uncertainties. They could've made the estimate less optimistic, giving some upside in case everything goes right. Using the best case scenario as your base case is not necessarily the smartest thing (but can be good for marketing).
- retSava 9y agoMight very well be exactly what they did; it might be that 1500 was the tip of the bathtub curve so to speak and 260 was on the low end. We'll never know.
- greglindahl 9y agoThe 31% increase for the entire year is actually holding S+X production flat from the last 2 quarters of 2016. Which is apparently being done on purpose to put resources into the Model 3 launch, and, there are signs of softening S+X demand, like a lot of S+X cars being built for inventory. This softness hasn't made its way into reduced sales, but who knows...