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"Never" should really be "not in the foreseeable future", but certainly not within two decades. The web is the apex of incumbent systems and there is just no cl

"Never" should really be "not in the foreseeable future", but certainly not within two decades. The web is the apex of incumbent systems and there is just no clear path, desire, incentive or business need that would facilitate a transition to an alternative, especially as the web approaches full feature parity with "native" code. The only people that have irreconcilable problems with the web are a certain subset of programmer, but for most people an alternative is unnecessary and perhaps even the opposite of progress.

goatlover 9y ago
> The web is the apex of incumbent systems and there is just no clear path, desire, incentive or business need that would facilitate a transition to an alternative, especially as the web approaches full feature parity with "native" code. I don't know about that. Considering the possibilities with AR/VR, quantum computing, machine learning, smart fabrics and environments, and the like and seems to me there could be an incentive for an alternative inside a 20 year timeframe. Will all that run over the web, or have a web interface? I tend to think at some point big technological changes will make an alternative appealing. But maybe not and it will all be web assembly apps writing to a canvas container ;)
- root_axis 9y ago
  >possibilities with AR/VR, The possibilities for multimedia and gaming are quite interesting, but there is no reason to suggest that this technology will have any impact on an any possible alternatives to the web. >quantum computing Quantum computing is in the "unforeseeable" category, we're not even entirely sure that quantum computing will ever be practical (as far as general purpose computing goes), certainly it has no implications with regard to an alternative to the web. >machine learning Same situation here. The machine learning discipline is expanding quickly and yielding very interesting developments, however, there's just no reason to suggest that machine learning will provide the impetus for a transition into a web alternative. > smart fabrics and environments Same here too. All of these developments are orthogonal to the state of the web and none of them really provide any mechanism or incentive to create or move to an alternative.

goatlover 9y ago

> The web is the apex of incumbent systems and there is just no clear path, desire, incentive or business need that would facilitate a transition to an alternative, especially as the web approaches full feature parity with "native" code. I don't know about that. Considering the possibilities with AR/VR, quantum computing, machine learning, smart fabrics and environments, and the like and seems to me there could be an incentive for an alternative inside a 20 year timeframe. Will all that run over the web, or have a web interface? I tend to think at some point big technological changes will make an alternative appealing. But maybe not and it will all be web assembly apps writing to a canvas container ;)

root_axis 9y ago
>possibilities with AR/VR, The possibilities for multimedia and gaming are quite interesting, but there is no reason to suggest that this technology will have any impact on an any possible alternatives to the web. >quantum computing Quantum computing is in the "unforeseeable" category, we're not even entirely sure that quantum computing will ever be practical (as far as general purpose computing goes), certainly it has no implications with regard to an alternative to the web. >machine learning Same situation here. The machine learning discipline is expanding quickly and yielding very interesting developments, however, there's just no reason to suggest that machine learning will provide the impetus for a transition into a web alternative. > smart fabrics and environments Same here too. All of these developments are orthogonal to the state of the web and none of them really provide any mechanism or incentive to create or move to an alternative.