3 ms·

How do we fix this?

jacquesm 9y ago
That's not a million dollar question but one worth several 10's or even 100's of billions. If you can find the answer to it you'll push us across the hump and away from this local oscillating maximum.
walterstucco 9y ago
You make the perfect product You strive for excellence You keep improving Like Jiro did with sushi And then the product dies with you
nostrademons 9y ago
We don't. Learn to embrace it instead. There's a flip side to everything. In this case, if you "fixed" this problem, it would imply a steady-state world where nothing ever changed, nothing was ever replaced, and nobody could ever take action to fix the things bugging them. To me, this is the ultimate in dystopias. It's like the world in The Giver or Tuck Everlasting, far more oppressive than the knowledge that everything we'll ever build will eventually turn to dust. Or we could get rid of humans and let machines rule the earth? Actually, that wouldn't work either, these dynamics are inherent in any system with multiple independent actors and a drive toward making things better. If robots did manage to replace humans (ignoring the fact that this is already most peoples' worst nightmare), then the robots would simply find that all their institutions were impermanent and subject to collapse as well.
- mwcampbell 9y ago
  Is there no possibility of steady progress without having to continually discard good solutions and reinvent things (e.g. web development catching up with the 90s)? Someone on this thread said that our field has no institutional memory. Can we at least fix that?
  - nostrademons 9y ago
    You run up against Gall's Law [1]. The root cause is that many of our desires are actually contradictory, but because human attention is a tiny sliver of human experience, whenever we focus our attention on some aspect of the system we can always find something that, taken in isolation, can be improved. (I'd be really disappointed if we couldn't, actually; it'd mean we could never make progress). However, the "taken in isolation" clause is key: very often, the reason the system as a whole works is often because we compromised on the very things that annoy us. Remember that in some areas, the web is far, far more advanced than software development was in the 90s. It's not unheard of for web companies to push a new version every day, without their customers even noticing. At my very first job in 2000, I did InstallShield packaging and final integration testing. InstallShield had a very high likelihood of screwing up other programs on the system (when was the last time Google stopped working because Hacker News screwed up the latest update?), because all it does is write to various file paths, most of which were shared amongst programs and had no ACLs. So I'd go and stick the final binary on one of a dozen VMs (virtualization was itself a huge leap forward) where we could test that everything still worked in a given configuration, and try installing over a few other applications that did similar things to make sure we weren't breaking anything else. We never did ship - we ran out of money first - but typical release cycles in that era were around 6 months (you still see this in Ubuntu releases, and that was a huge improvement on programs that came before it). And this was still post-Internet, where you could distribute stuff on a webserver. Go back another decade and you'd be working with a publisher, cutting a master floppy disk, printing up manuals, and distributing to retail stores. You'd have one chance to get it right, and if you didn't, you went out of business. The thing is, many of the things that made the web such a win in distribution & ubiquity are exactly the same things that this article is complaining about. Move to a binary protocol and you can't do "view source" or open a saved HTML file in a text editor to learn what the author did; programming becomes a high priesthood again. Length-prefix all elements instead of using closing tags and you can't paste in a snippet of HTML without the aid of a compiler; no more formatted text on forums, no more analytics or tracking, no more like buttons, no more ad networks (actually, I can see the appeal now ;-)). Require a compiler to author & distribute a web page and you can't get the critical mass of long-tail content that made the web popular in the first place. You can see the appeal of all of these suggestions now, in a world where things have gotten complicated enough that only the high priesthood of JS developers can understand it anyway, and we're overrun with ads and trackers and like buttons that everyone has gotten tired of anyway, and a few big companies control most of the web anyway. But we wouldn't have gotten to that point without the content & apps created by people who got started by "view source" on a webpage. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gall_(author)#Gall.27s_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gall_(author)#Gall.27s_la...

How do we fix this?

That's not a million dollar question but one worth several 10's or even 100's of billions. If you can find the answer to it you'll push us across the hump and away from this local oscillating maximum.

walterstucco 9y ago

You make the perfect product You strive for excellence You keep improving Like Jiro did with sushi And then the product dies with you

nostrademons 9y ago

We don't. Learn to embrace it instead. There's a flip side to everything. In this case, if you "fixed" this problem, it would imply a steady-state world where nothing ever changed, nothing was ever replaced, and nobody could ever take action to fix the things bugging them. To me, this is the ultimate in dystopias. It's like the world in The Giver or Tuck Everlasting, far more oppressive than the knowledge that everything we'll ever build will eventually turn to dust. Or we could get rid of humans and let machines rule the earth? Actually, that wouldn't work either, these dynamics are inherent in any system with multiple independent actors and a drive toward making things better. If robots did manage to replace humans (ignoring the fact that this is already most peoples' worst nightmare), then the robots would simply find that all their institutions were impermanent and subject to collapse as well.

mwcampbell 9y ago
Is there no possibility of steady progress without having to continually discard good solutions and reinvent things (e.g. web development catching up with the 90s)? Someone on this thread said that our field has no institutional memory. Can we at least fix that?
- nostrademons 9y ago
  You run up against Gall's Law [1]. The root cause is that many of our desires are actually contradictory, but because human attention is a tiny sliver of human experience, whenever we focus our attention on some aspect of the system we can always find something that, taken in isolation, can be improved. (I'd be really disappointed if we couldn't, actually; it'd mean we could never make progress). However, the "taken in isolation" clause is key: very often, the reason the system as a whole works is often because we compromised on the very things that annoy us. Remember that in some areas, the web is far, far more advanced than software development was in the 90s. It's not unheard of for web companies to push a new version every day, without their customers even noticing. At my very first job in 2000, I did InstallShield packaging and final integration testing. InstallShield had a very high likelihood of screwing up other programs on the system (when was the last time Google stopped working because Hacker News screwed up the latest update?), because all it does is write to various file paths, most of which were shared amongst programs and had no ACLs. So I'd go and stick the final binary on one of a dozen VMs (virtualization was itself a huge leap forward) where we could test that everything still worked in a given configuration, and try installing over a few other applications that did similar things to make sure we weren't breaking anything else. We never did ship - we ran out of money first - but typical release cycles in that era were around 6 months (you still see this in Ubuntu releases, and that was a huge improvement on programs that came before it). And this was still post-Internet, where you could distribute stuff on a webserver. Go back another decade and you'd be working with a publisher, cutting a master floppy disk, printing up manuals, and distributing to retail stores. You'd have one chance to get it right, and if you didn't, you went out of business. The thing is, many of the things that made the web such a win in distribution & ubiquity are exactly the same things that this article is complaining about. Move to a binary protocol and you can't do "view source" or open a saved HTML file in a text editor to learn what the author did; programming becomes a high priesthood again. Length-prefix all elements instead of using closing tags and you can't paste in a snippet of HTML without the aid of a compiler; no more formatted text on forums, no more analytics or tracking, no more like buttons, no more ad networks (actually, I can see the appeal now ;-)). Require a compiler to author & distribute a web page and you can't get the critical mass of long-tail content that made the web popular in the first place. You can see the appeal of all of these suggestions now, in a world where things have gotten complicated enough that only the high priesthood of JS developers can understand it anyway, and we're overrun with ads and trackers and like buttons that everyone has gotten tired of anyway, and a few big companies control most of the web anyway. But we wouldn't have gotten to that point without the content & apps created by people who got started by "view source" on a webpage. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gall_(author)#Gall.27s_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gall_(author)#Gall.27s_la...