4 ms·
If you'd like to learn more about how autonomous cars will change the world, I strongly recommend the robocar essays of Brad Templeton: http://www.templetons.co
by michaelkeenan 16y ago
If you'd like to learn more about how autonomous cars will change the world, I strongly recommend the robocar essays of Brad Templeton: http://www.templetons.com/brad/robocars/ http://www.templetons.com/brad/robocars/
Highlights:
-Cars that don't crash due to human error would save 40,000 lives and a million injuries (NIH). Mostly young people, for whom car accidents are the leading cause of death among major categories.
-Not crashing would save 230 billion dollars of accident cost (NTSB). About 2-3% of GDP.
-Not driving would free up 50 billion hours (or 1 trillion dollars) of people's time. Around 8% of GDP.
-Electric cars (more feasible when the car can go to a service station when it's not being used, because one of the major problems with electric cars is that storing lots of energy in a battery is difficult) would save 50 billion gallons of imported gasoline, replaced with the equivalent of 5 billion "gallons" of domestic-source power plant fuel. Thus eliminating about 12-15% of the USA's CO2 emissions and nastier pollution.
-There would be a serious reduction in the urban land devoted to the ~600 million parking spaces, estimated to be up to 10% of urban land in many cities.
- aidenn0 16y agoI thought about this though and there is a serious problem. Let's say I've created a robo car system that is 100x less likely to be involved in an at-fault accident. If everyone installed the system nationwide, I would be assuming about 2.3 billion dollars (1% of the accident cost figure quoted above) in liability. However, that's not likely to happen since the first time such a system fails and crashes it would be horrible publicity that would put me out of business.
- sp332 16y agoComputers won't get legal rights (ability to own property, etc.) by proving that they are intelligent, or able to feel, or whatever. It will be for liability purposes!
- michaelkeenan 16y agoYes, I think that will slow the adoption of robocars significantly, especially in the USA. See Templeton's section on liability in the essay on problems with robocars: http://www.templetons.com/brad/robocars/roadblocks.html http://www.templetons.com/brad/robocars/roadblocks.html "[Robocars may first be adopted in] other countries, such as China, Singapore, India or Japan. These high-tech countries have very different liability systems, and indeed very different forms of lawmaking that can simply wipe away the liability problem with the wave of a pen."