I disagree. I don't see much innovation happening in desktop hardware and software in the next 10 years. The keyboard and mouse will still be around; it will

I disagree. I don't see much innovation happening in desktop hardware and software in the next 10 years. The keyboard and mouse will still be around; it will be how we define desktop software. There will continue to be new versions of OS X, but there will be no "Mac OS X Touch Screen Edition". Computing appliances like the iPad will play increasingly important roles in our lives and will completely replace the desktop for many people, but it won't kill the desktop anymore than the GUI killed the command-line. Instead, the Desktop will simply stop being a major source of software innovation.