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Toyota came out saying you'd have to gather 8.5 billion miles of driving data to make any claims with statistical certainty about the ability of any autonomous
by Fricken 9y ago
Toyota came out saying you'd have to gather 8.5 billion miles of driving data to make any claims with statistical certainty about the ability of any autonomous driving system to prevent fatalities (I've heard other outrageous numbers thrown out to this effect, though I don't recall them off the top of my head).
Though by the time you get to the 8 billionth mile the technology will have evolved, rendering the earlier data moot. So it will be pretty much impossible to do any sort of authoritative study on how safe this technology is until it is widespread, and mature.
- MarkMc 9y agoIf a study could reliably demonstrate that autonomous vehicles have fewer collisions it would strongly hint that fatalities are also fewer.
- carlmr 9y agoNumber of collisions and number of fatalities will not necessarily have the same proportions as for humans. You could have a car that never gets into little collisions that often happen to human drivers because of carelessness, but are rarely deadly, but the same AI might have a faulty reasoning every once in a while leading it to accelerate to 200kph before running straight into a wall. This hypothetical AI would have very few collisions, but maybe still be much more deadly than a human. Humans are the only data we currently have significant numbers of miles logged for. Any extrapolation to AI is meaningless.