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Could you explain your math here? Is there something you learn about the other digits when you make a wrong guess?
by skj 9y ago
Could you explain your math here? Is there something you learn about the other digits when you make a wrong guess?
- jooke 9y ago60*24 = 1440 possibilities. If you guess half these numbers you would expect to crack half the pins.
- jon_richards 9y agoYour chance of being wrong in a guess is 1-1/(60* 24) Your chance of being wrong in all 1000 guesses, assuming you guess randomly (not ensuring you never make the same guess twice) is (1-1/(60* 24))^1000 That's about .5 This is based on the assumption that you are guessing for a different person each time, so you can't increase your odds by eliminating any guesses you've already made. If you're guessing for the same person every time, you just need to guess half the possibilities. You can confirm this by realizing: Your chance of being wrong in a guess is 1-1/(60* 24-x) where x is the number of guesses you have already made. The product of 1-1/(60* 24-x) from x=0 to x=60* 24/2-1 is .5 Edit: hackernews formatting is weird
- foota 9y agoYou could probably increase your odds significantly over time by analyzing the distribution of pins (and as others note, by making common sense observations you can also increase your odds)