That's not quite an accurate rebuttal. That modeling study projects a large increase in severe hurricanes, not in hurricanes overall. My understanding is that

That's not quite an accurate rebuttal. That modeling study projects a large increase in severe hurricanes, not in hurricanes overall. My understanding is that the models suggest that hurricanes will get more severe, in a fashion that outpaces any downward trend in quantity. "In the Bender et al. 2010 study, we estimate that the effect of increasing category 4-5 storms outweighs the reduction in overall hurricane numbers such that we project (very roughly) a 30% increase in potential damage in the Atlantic basin by 2100."