3 ms·
Click bait title, article is not actually suggesting Kim Jong-Un will instigate nuclear warfare Actually it does: This scenario to stave off an invasion with
by zzalpha 9y ago
Click bait title, article is not actually suggesting Kim Jong-Un will instigate nuclear warfare
Actually it does:
This scenario to stave off an invasion with a limited nuclear attack on a U.S. military target is not irrational, although it is clearly risky and terrifyingly tragic. One wrinkle is that North Korea’s arsenal is currently small and vulnerable, and U.S. military strategy, reiterated by Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, is to try to find and destroy all of Kim’s nuclear systems in the event of a war. That gives Kim an incentive to go first, go early and go massively if he is not confident about surviving a U.S. attempt at disarming him. If Kim thinks we are coming after him or his forces, he cannot afford to be wrong and he cannot afford to launch second.
That last sentence is key, so if you're skimming this comment, go back and read it.
To summarize: The basic thesis is that, if Kim believes an attack is coming (not that it has started, that it is simply coming), his rational choice is to use nuclear arms on bases in the region and thus force the US to the negotiating table.