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If the Industrial Revolution is any analogue, there will be plenty of inter-state wars, revolutions within states and competing ideologies within a few decades.
by EternalData 9y ago
If the Industrial Revolution is any analogue, there will be plenty of inter-state wars, revolutions within states and competing ideologies within a few decades...
The optimist in me says that there's been a period of 70 years or so without major wars between different state powers, and maybe MAD will hold up -- but in the theme of prologues repeating themselves...
- atemerev 9y agoMAD leads to proxy warfighting. Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Middle East (and now Korea again as well as even more Middle East). However, the rest of the things on the list are pretty much guaranteed.
- weuhriwqeoh 9y agoHmm. Curious, but how does that change the calculus for you? Where do you foresee this?
- subwayclub 9y agoThe saying goes, "history never repeats itself but it often rhymes". If there's a threat on the horizon, it's probably the one we discuss the least right now.
- blacksmith_tb 9y agoI prefer Marx's version, "history repeats itself... first as tragedy, then as farce"[1] 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Eighteenth_Brumaire_of_Louis_Napoleon#.22History_repeats_..._first_as_tragedy.2C_then_as_farce.22 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Eighteenth_Brumaire_of_Lou...