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Unless you're expecting "true" A.I. to show up anytime soon, only some categories of jobs can be automated, namely ones that involve fairly repetitive physical
by eridius 9y ago
Unless you're expecting "true" A.I. to show up anytime soon, only some categories of jobs can be automated, namely ones that involve fairly repetitive physical labor. Knowledge work and many types of physical jobs that require specialized expertise (such as electrician, plumber, etc) aren't going to be automated.
- deepnotderp 9y agoOh sweet summer child, even the act of making deep learning models has been automated...
- SomeStupidPoint 9y agoAs I understand it, technology is already displacing lots of support staff around knowledge work (clerks, paralegels, clinic administrators, filing specialists, etc) and is rapidly digging at specialist knowledge (disease diagnosis, algorithmic designs, etc). I don't expect "AI" to take over every job, I just expect technology to displace 95% of the people from 95% of the (good) jobs in ~30 years. I think once that 90% of the workforce becomes dislodged, we're not going to see the notion of "jobs" ever recover, particularly ones that are more than service industry positions. I think we're already seeing the tip of it in lost office jobs being replaced by service industry jobs -- hilariously, replacing knowledge and skilled work with repetitive physical labor.
- eridius 9y agoI'll admit that "knowledge work" is a bit ambiguous. Work where the job is to know things, sure that can be automated. Work where you have to apply that knowledge is much further away from being automated.
- zdkl 9y agoAn interesting thought is that there might be an exodus of workers from areas that favour capital/competition to areas that support more socialist views of the labour market. Return your tired, your poor, your huddled masses...