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For those who down voted me, you do not know your sample set or your test subjects. Go to the empirical data sources. Human behavior certainly affects the rea
by oso2k 9y ago
For those who down voted me, you do not know your sample set or your test subjects. Go to the empirical data sources. Human behavior certainly affects the real probabilities. As of 2015 in the US [0], a person is more likely to be born in July, August or September. They're also more likely to be born during the middle of the work week rather than the weekends. Draw your own conclusions from the data.
[0] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr66/nvsr66_01_tables.pdf https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr66/nvsr66_01_tables.p...
- quesera 9y agoYour information is interesting, but your inference is incorrect. The Birthday Paradox has absolutely nothing to do with procreation, and everything to do with statistical probability.
- oso2k 9y agoProbability is just a model in lieu of the actual data with many built-in assumptions. Probability is a shortcut finding, collecting or generating data. My point is, if you have the data or a very large faction thereof, use it. Don't guess using probabilities.
- quesera 9y agoRight, but it's really not about birthdays at all. It's specifically about coincidences in a randomly distributed set. It just says "birthday" in the common name because that's a relatable, if imperfect, example.